Defying even the most optimistic of predictions,
The Lion King 3D
(
for the film's big not-so-fatal flaw) repeated at the top of the box office
. The shockingly popular 3D-converted re-release dropped just 26% in its second weekend, grossing $22.1 million in what was allegedly the last weekend of its 'limited engagement'. I cannot imagine Disney not keeping this one in theaters until it plays out naturally, as we could easily be looking at a $100 million domestic total for the refurbished 17-year-old cartoon.
The Lion King 3D
now has $61.6 million, giving the film a $389 million domestic total. Once it gets past $67 million, it will surpass the 1997 re-release of
The Empire Strikes Back
and become the second-biggest re-release of all time, behind the $137 million gross of
Star Wars: Special Edition
.
Unless Disney does pull the movie next Friday, it should pass $400 million at the end of next weekend, putting it within spitting distance of the $410 million domestic total of Toy Story 3. The $441 million domestic total for Shrek 2 seems out of reach for the moment, but we'll know for sure by the end of next weekend. Again, there is no reason to assume that every 3D-converted rerelease coming down the pike in the next year will perform like this one, anymore than other nationwide anniversary re-releases were expected to match the astonishing 1997 Star Wars Trilogy: Special Edition roll outs (HERE for a review of the Star Wars Blu Ray set). Considering this release was basically a glorified advertisement for the October 4th Blu Ray release, Disney is basically pulling pure profit on this one.
Coming in at second place, but with no cause for shame, was Sony's
Moneyball
(
). The well-reviewed Brad Pitt vehicle grossed a solid $20.6 million, which gives it the biggest opening weekend ever for a movie about baseball. The film scored an A from Cinemascore across all demos. The picture played 51% male and 64% over-35. The latter stat makes its opening even more impressive (older audiences don't generally rush out to opening weekend) and its long-term legs that much more likely (as the word of mouth bleeds down to younger demos). Like an old-fashioned adult drama, the film pulled a weekend multiplier of over 3.0x, something that rarely happens in this day and age. Unless the film completely collapses for reasons unknown, Brad Pitt is (deservedly) guaranteed to receive a Best Actor Oscar nomination, and he is quickly looking like one of the front-runners to win. As for its chances in other major Oscar categories (Best Adapted Screenplay, Best Picture, etc), the final gross will determine its fate. Anything over $60 million makes it a likely nominee, anything over $75 million arguably makes it a lock (Pitt's huge international appeal will make this a boon overseas as well). Regardless, this is EXACTLY the kind of film we all claim we want from the studios: mid-budget (about $50 million), star and character-driven dramas aimed at adults. It may have been put in turnaround at the last minute two years ago (see me whine about it
), but Sony eventually did the right thing and will profit accordingly.
The other solid opening for the weekend went to Dolphin Tale, a true-life drama about an injured dolphin and its (I presume) eventual recovery. Without the unexpected success of The Lion King 3D, this one would likely have won the weekend derby. But Warner Bros. will have to 'settle' for a terrific $20.2 million opening for this well-reviewed $37 million family drama. The film polled an A+ from Cinemascore, which of course only means something if the film opened well in the first place. The legs on this one will be somewhat dependent on the continued strength of The Lion King, as well as the opening muscle of Real Steel on October 7th (a, um... Hugh Jackman robot-boxing drama that is being heavily sold to the family market). Regardless, Dolphin Tale, which sold 50% of its tickets in 3D, will easily recoup its money by the end of next weekend, with overseas and the eventual family DVD market resulting in big profits.
The other two wide openers were pure action pictures, and they both debuted with relatively middling results. Lionsgate's
Abduction
opened with $11.2 million. The film was primarily an action vehicle for Taylor Lautner as well as a test of his drawing power. While $11.2 million for an action picture isn't uber-impressive on its own, Lautner is arguably responsible for every single ticket sold this weekend. The film received horrible reviews and advance word let action-junkies know that it was a soft PG-13 (thus defeating
). So if you bought a ticket to
Abduction
, you did so because you like Taylor Lautner (or are dating someone who does). The John Singleton thriller cost just $36 million, so it will probably break even somewhere down the road. There are two things worth noting: First of all, this opening is about on par with the $12.3 million opening of Zac Efron's
Charlie St. Cloud
and above the $8 million opening for Robert Pattinson's
Remember Me
, although an action thriller is arguably a more mainstream attraction than
. Second of all, and connected to the first thought, Taylor Lautner's biggest threat to longterm bank-ability is falling into the same trap as Patrick Swayze. Swayze's two massive hits were
Dirty Dancing
and
Ghost
, both of which were romantic dramas. Yet Swayze (or his agent?) insisted on doing a whole bunch of low-rent action pictures (
Road House
,
Next of Kin
, etc), which turned off the primarily female audience that turned him into an icon in the first place. Lautner is known as a romantic hero of sorts, so his repeated dabbling in similarly low-rent action pictures could be a long-term problem. We'll see...
The final opener was The Killer Elite. The Jason Statham/Clive Owen/Robert De Niro action drama pulled in the standard-for-Statham $9.5 million (he generally averages $9-12 million for his action vehicles). The good news is that this was the first movie from Open Road Films, so a halfway decent debut on the first time should be noted. The bad news is that the film cost $70 million!! Open Road picked this up and is only on the hook for marketing costs, but someone somewhere is going to take a bath on this one. Since breaking out with The Transporter back in 2002, Jason Statham has of course made his name as 'the last action hero'. But he has yet to find that big project that (perhaps temporarily) lifts him to the A-list, his Under Siege if you will. The film will do the normal Statham $20-25 million and be on DVD in 90 days, where I will happily rent it (HERE for tips on how not to get killed by Jason Statham).
This article continues HERE.
Our 2024 Coverage Needs You
It's Another Trump-Biden Showdown — And We Need Your Help
The Future Of Democracy Is At Stake
Our 2024 Coverage Needs You
Your Loyalty Means The World To Us
As Americans head to the polls in 2024, the very future of our country is at stake. At HuffPost, we believe that a free press is critical to creating well-informed voters. That's why our journalism is free for everyone, even though other newsrooms retreat behind expensive paywalls.
Our journalists will continue to cover the twists and turns during this historic presidential election. With your help, we'll bring you hard-hitting investigations, well-researched analysis and timely takes you can't find elsewhere. Reporting in this current political climate is a responsibility we do not take lightly, and we thank you for your support.
Contribute as little as $2 to keep our news free for all.
Can't afford to donate? Support HuffPost by creating a free account and log in while you read.
The 2024 election is heating up, and women's rights, health care, voting rights, and the very future of democracy are all at stake. Donald Trump will face Joe Biden in the most consequential vote of our time. And HuffPost will be there, covering every twist and turn. America's future hangs in the balance. Would you consider contributing to support our journalism and keep it free for all during this critical season?
HuffPost believes news should be accessible to everyone, regardless of their ability to pay for it. We rely on readers like you to help fund our work. Any contribution you can make — even as little as $2 — goes directly toward supporting the impactful journalism that we will continue to produce this year. Thank you for being part of our story.
Can't afford to donate? Support HuffPost by creating a free account and log in while you read.
It's official: Donald Trump will face Joe Biden this fall in the presidential election. As we face the most consequential presidential election of our time, HuffPost is committed to bringing you up-to-date, accurate news about the 2024 race. While other outlets have retreated behind paywalls, you can trust our news will stay free.
But we can't do it without your help. Reader funding is one of the key ways we support our newsroom. Would you consider making a donation to help fund our news during this critical time? Your contributions are vital to supporting a free press.
Contribute as little as $2 to keep our journalism free and accessible to all.
Can't afford to donate? Support HuffPost by creating a free account and log in while you read.
As Americans head to the polls in 2024, the very future of our country is at stake. At HuffPost, we believe that a free press is critical to creating well-informed voters. That's why our journalism is free for everyone, even though other newsrooms retreat behind expensive paywalls.
Our journalists will continue to cover the twists and turns during this historic presidential election. With your help, we'll bring you hard-hitting investigations, well-researched analysis and timely takes you can't find elsewhere. Reporting in this current political climate is a responsibility we do not take lightly, and we thank you for your support.
Contribute as little as $2 to keep our news free for all.
Can't afford to donate? Support HuffPost by creating a free account and log in while you read.
Dear HuffPost Reader
Thank you for your past contribution to HuffPost. We are sincerely grateful for readers like you who help us ensure that we can keep our journalism free for everyone.
The stakes are high this year, and our 2024 coverage could use continued support. Would you consider becoming a regular HuffPost contributor?
Dear HuffPost Reader
Thank you for your past contribution to HuffPost. We are sincerely grateful for readers like you who help us ensure that we can keep our journalism free for everyone.
The stakes are high this year, and our 2024 coverage could use continued support. If circumstances have changed since you last contributed, we hope you'll consider contributing to HuffPost once more.
Support HuffPostAlready contributed? Log in to hide these messages.