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Scott Paul

Scott Paul

Posted: September 18, 2009 05:24 PM

After the Tire Decision

What's Your Reaction?

President Obama deserves credit for making a tough call on trade. On September 11, he decided to impose tariffs on consumer tires from China for the next three years, resisting the pleas of most opinion elites across the nation and one of the principal financiers of our massive public debt: China's government.

Though many industries have been battered by imports from China, the safeguard mechanism permitted under rules China agreed to upon entering the World Trade Organization eight years ago has never been invoked before this month. While the merits of the trade case filed by the United Steelworkers (USW) union seeking relief from a massive surge of imported Chinese consumer tires were quite clear, an absurd mythology has encompassed it.

Even though the International Trade Commission (ITC) recommended tariffs after hearing copious evidence from importers and the Chinese tire industry as well as from the USW (which represent tire workers), opponents of the tariffs still insist that the decision will be counterproductive, raising prices while creating jobs in other importing nations. That is complete nonsense. No other exporter can replace the market share of consumer tires that China currently holds. Goodyear has indicated that it will invest $600 million in its American tire manufacturing facilities, making it highly likely that the tariffs will allow for some capital investments in the domestic tire industry and put tire workers back on the job. Prices for tires--if they rise at all--will increase by $3 per tire according to the ITC, while the economic benefits to the nation, in the form of jobs and wages saved, taxes paid, and corporate profits--will more than double that.

Some critics of the tariffs have pointed to potential retaliation by China against U.S.-produced chicken feet and auto parts. This is merely bluster by Beijing, which is not normally held to account on trade issues. For eight years, China has not faced serious sanctions for a beggar-thy-neighbor, mercantilist trade policy. But remember this: China depends on access to the U.S. market for its own employment and growth, and will not ultimately risk its livelihood to make a point.

Others believe that the outcome of this case will lead to the filing of even more import surge cases against China by industries such as textiles or steel. The sad fact is that scores of American industries have seen an import surge from China. While a few more cases may be in the offing, a far more likely outcome of the tire case is a serious bilateral negotiation between the U.S. and China to address a number of trade irritants, such as massive industrial subsidies, lack of market access, intellectual property theft, persistent dumping, and an exchange rate that most economists believe is dramatically undervalued and misaligned.

Does anyone still believe it is a good thing to outsource not only our manufacturing but also our debt financing to China? The tire decision alone will not change this equation, but it could chart a better course for America.

Revitalizing manufacturing, reducing our trade imbalances and bringing down our public debt are interconnected. The tire trade decision alone will not accomplish these goals, but it may lead lawmakers to embrace a new strategy to grow manufacturing in this nation. Trade enforcement as articulated by President Obama is an essential component of that strategy, but it is only part of the equation. We need a results-oriented trade policy, one that recognizes the importance of opening new markets as well as enforcing the rules. It is refreshing to see a pragmatic national leader on trade after so many years of benign neglect.

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09:42 AM on 09/21/2009
My husband is in the tire industry and has had opportunity to discuss Obama's decision with many retailers and their customers (many of whom, in the area we live, are conservative Republicans). By and large, the response from both retailers and their customers is "About time" even though they understand this tariff means the retailer and customer will end up paying the price increase on tires imported from China.

However, the problem with this decision is that many companies have already begun moving their distribution OUT of China to other countries who are not faced with the same tariff (such as India). So although this tariff on Chinese tires imported to the US seems like a good thing right now, nothing much will really change except for the location the tires are made.

What Obama should have done (which would have been HUGELY unpopular and perceived as quite protectionist outside of the US) was enact a tariff on every single product imported into the United States regardless of what it was and where it was made. Free trade does not work when everything moves one way. It's time to institute FAIR trade.
11:48 AM on 09/20/2009
No doubt the President made a wise decision. One that will certainly be the impetus for a serious discussion about balancing our trade relationship with China. If we are truly to become a healthy global economy, China and all participating countries must recognize, understand, respect and accommodate each partner nations need for self-sufficiency, purposefulness and a sense of accomplishment. The U.S cannot simply be regarded as the shopaholic nation.
02:42 PM on 09/21/2009
exactly - you can not have free or fair trade without enforcement
05:11 AM on 09/20/2009
Thanks for jacking up the price of tires. Wait, how does this help the rest of us?
07:20 PM on 09/20/2009
only the chinese made tires will go up an average of 3 bucks a piece

US made tires will be the same price they always were pre china tire dumping
09:12 AM on 09/21/2009
We don't know how much retailers will increase the price of their tires imported from China. If the cost to import went up $3, for example, than the retail price would probably jump $6. Regarding the cost of American tires, when prices for import competitors goes up, US companies tend to increase the prices of their goods rather than keeping them low to increase market share. In this way, they can increase margins without increasing production. This may not occur right now with demand so low, however; but if demand picks up, this is what US companies will probably do.
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09:41 AM on 09/21/2009
That's rich, the price of tires are already inflated because the CEOs and executive management get such inflated salaries and bonuses but I doubt you've complained about it to them. That's the real reason we get 'jacked' up. Besides, the 'patriotic' thing to do would be pay more for and 'American-made' tire, if you can find any.
06:57 PM on 09/19/2009
Obama has put the Chinese on notice. The US is China's export lifeline, the advantage lies in our court.
07:26 PM on 09/19/2009
I hope it works. Let's just hope the Chinese don't put us "on notice" with their $$$$$.
02:43 PM on 09/21/2009
they need our markets more than we need their dough

its about time we start leveraging this
11:37 AM on 09/20/2009
Until they just start selling to somebody else.
07:21 PM on 09/20/2009
which is fine with US mfg workers

china needs our market for their cheepo goods more than we need those cheepo goods
02:49 PM on 09/19/2009
20% tarrif on all chinese goods (they link currency)
20% tarriffs on all cars and auto parts.
01:56 PM on 09/19/2009
Very good points , although I think the neglect was less than benign. At best it was incompetent.

Hopefully you are right when you say we might get ", a new strategy to grow manufacturing in this nation".

There are those who still want to call this protectionism, when in fact it was merely levelism.

Levelism does not protect industries, it merely removes unfair advantages gained through low wages, low environmental controls and manipulated exchange rates.

http://corporate-statesmen.org/images/LEVELISM.pdf

This is the handle that is needed to stop the race to the bottom ...
01:54 PM on 09/19/2009
I support Obama on this.

This is kind of nit-picking, but it is interesting to notice how much executive power has grown. Originally Congress was charged with the responsibility to set tariffs and regulate trade.

Article1, Section 8 of the US Constitution is pretty specific about this.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Article_One_of_the_United_States_Constitution#Enumerated_powers

So I guess Congress can delegate its powers to other branches, the executive branch in this case?
10:10 PM on 09/19/2009
Congress has all but abdicated their constitutional responsibility for trade regulation

mostly to international organizations like WTO, but alos to the exectutive branch as well

I suppose the executive branch is the lesser of evils

the intent was that congress was closer to the people, and therefore would represent their interests

but of course such has not been the case with trade, and only global corporatists have been represented, whil whole industries, jobs an communities in the midewest suffer