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Sean Stone

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Backing Into World War III?

Posted: 03/ 8/2012 4:55 pm

According to the doctrine of pre-emptive war, Iran can be attacked based on its alleged desire to develop nuclear weapons, just as Iraq was attacked in 2003. In fact, Congress is currently debating whether a nuclear capability alone (which Brazil, Japan, and other countries enjoy) could justify the 'preventive' attack. I believe it is time to negate this doctrine by postulating that Iran in fact has a right, as a sovereign nation, to a nuclear capability.

Having traveled to Iran recently, I can attest to the Joint Chiefs' General Dempsey's reference to Iran as a 'rational' actor. The Iranians have no interest in destroying America, or Israel, at the expense of one of the oldest continuous civilizations in the world, dating back about 2600 years. Iran is currently surrounded by over 40 U.S. military installations, not counting Israel's still-unaccounted nuclear arsenal. To assert that Iran would jeopardize its culture for a one-shot nuclear attack is a complete miscalculation of the Iranian spirit; that spirit gave rise to a revolution in 1979 against what they perceived as Anglo-American imperialism in the form of the Shah, much as our own revolution opposed British imperialism.

I agree with General Dempsey that an attack on Iran would not only be imprudent, it would be 'destabilizing', and for more than just Iran. What is at stake is much larger than Iran's right to become a nuclear power; and based on the attitude of the political figures I spoke with in Iran, they understand this very well -- should Israel, with or without American support, attack Iran's nuclear or military infrastructure, it would be considered an act of war that may prompt World War III.

What I believe is currently being played out is an 'endgame' scenario, by failing West European and American economies, threatening to explode what has historically been referred to by British imperialists as the Heartland of Eurasia: stretching from the Horn of Africa (guarding the shipping lanes of the Gulf) to Afghanistan and Pakistan (in Russia and China's underbelly). The Russians know this 'Great Game' well, having played it with the British since at least the Crimean War of the mid-19th Century. So when Russia says it cannot accept the ongoing destruction of the Syrian government, or an attack on Iran, it is based on the understanding that such destabilization of this 'Heartland' could ignite war between Shia and Sunni Muslims across the region, even affecting the Muslim populations of southern Russia and western China.

Iran is currently accused by the West of being a rogue state involved in spreading amorphous terrorism abroad. In reality, Iran has seen the destruction of the sovereign states in Afghanistan and Iraq, on its borders; and now, the Obama Administration is calling for the downfall of Iran's ally, President Assad's secular Syrian regime. That country is quickly going the way of Lebanon in the 1980s, which could reignite sectarian violence from Lebanon to Iraq, and beyond. The chaos ensuing the overthrow of Assad will not only serve to radicalize the religious factions, as the Iraq war did after the fall of the secular Ba'ath Party, but such a strategy seems to have been predicted; retired General Wesley Clark reported in his 2003 book that the imperialist 'neo-con' faction within the U.S. Defense Department had plans for regime change in Iraq, Syria, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, Lebanon and Iran, dating back to before Sept. 11.

In such a meltdown of nation-states, Israel will not be safe from retaliation by Hezbollah and Hamas; unless of course, Prime Minister Netanyahu intends to use such violence to attempt an extension of Israel's borders toward the Euphrates, according to the right-wing 'Greater Israel' doctrine which desires an Israeli state from the Nile in Egypt to the Euphrates in Iraq. It would then seem the logic of this current escalation to war with Iran really has nothing to do with protecting Israel; the escalation will more likely sacrifice the Israeli people for the sake of a game of empire.

It is no wonder that Russian Prime Minister Putin has called the Anglo-American policy in the Middle East a 'cult of violence.' As Putin understands, if we do not respect national sovereignty, who are we left to cooperate with in order to stop the radical political groups we allege as our enemy? In point of little irony, most radical Al-Qaeda elements are derived from Saudi-style Wahhabism, which gave rise to the Taliban regime. Considering that Iranian Shi'ism is long-opposed to this brand of Sunni Islam, would it not make more sense for America to cooperate with Iran against Al-Qaeda and related extremist groups? In the process of such diplomatic engagement, is it not possible that we make peace with the Iranian regime through a commonality of purpose and an exchanging of ideas?

The Iranian people, like the American people, are reasonable, but proud; if they believe in a right to nuclear capabilities, it is because they feel they have the same national right as do the Israelis or Pakistanis, both of whom have already weaponized the region. And according to their Supreme Leader, Iran is not desirous of nuclear weapons, for he has said that even "the production, possession, use or threat of use of nuclear weapons are illegitimate, futile, harmful, dangerous and prohibited as a great sin." If we are thus serious about the Non-Proliferation Treaty which Iran has signed, I'd personally like to see a nuclear weapon-free zone across the Middle East, which would mean accounting for the Israeli arsenal. But if we continue on the current trajectory of giving 'unconditional support' to Israel and its illicit nuclear arsenal -- and if we continue to support the overthrow of nations who have not declared war on us -- are we not creating the conditions for Iran to eventually desire a nuclear weapon, to prevent the destruction of its national sovereignty?

If we can succeed in staving off an imperialistic war in the coming years, I foresee a future of cooperation between Iran, Israel, and America, based on a common republican spirit and tradition. But if Anglo-American imperialism chooses to continue to smash nations and disregard borders, that imperial spirit will only breed more terrorism, not less. If we create a world without sovereign states with authority of law to rule over their people, who will we have left to deal with? Countries do not always get along, but failed states never do. And should we risk war over the excuse of Iran's nuclear program, we will be looking at a region of radicalized groups of all denominations, with very little authority over them, and tremendous resentment at what they will perceive as foreign imperialists. Such a day would be much worse than seeing a nuclear Iran.

 
According to the doctrine of pre-emptive war, Iran can be attacked based on its alleged desire to develop nuclear weapons, just as Iraq was attacked in 2003. In fact, Congress is currently debating wh...
According to the doctrine of pre-emptive war, Iran can be attacked based on its alleged desire to develop nuclear weapons, just as Iraq was attacked in 2003. In fact, Congress is currently debating wh...
 
 
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11:21 PM on 04/12/2012
Mr Stone - here you reveal such a capacity for rational insight, yet you go and ruin all this effort by appearing on Alex jones. Encouraging thousands of impressionable young people to mistake spouting superstitous twaddle with 'taking a stand' and/or taking action to free themselves from corporate enslavement. I'm so disappointed. You must be the greatest example of squandered potential that I've ever heard about.
08:02 AM on 03/17/2012
Hi Mr Sean, if by any chance you read this - I'm writing in regards of potential business together; so I'd appreciate a reply, It would be great if you can contact me on here or on my twitter (under the same name) then maybe i can give u my email address if that is alright with you.
have a great day please
Ps. this is a serious request.
12:04 AM on 03/17/2012
You can post to us this information
11:52 PM on 03/16/2012
Name of God
I support this courageous of you, I'm living in a country that courageous people are smart Vmntqy. I do not want people to achieve their inalienable right to peaceful nuclear energy to stand up. In this way many martyrs have sacrificed valuable cholera. But two leaflets instead of the West to cooperate with Iran,
I like the timid country people are boycotting me ...
In religion we (Iranians) are forbidden to kill, what Brsd of mass destruction ...!
They (Western governments) do not erase your fears of a nuclear bomb (the reasons stated above) Hras we have them than ideology. Nuclear weapons is an excuse.
I disagree with the friends that I invite to come to Iran to close this Mttq understand.
Happy New Year (Happy New Year Solar)
07:49 PM on 03/11/2012
Thank you so much Sean for being the voice this world so badly needs. I completely agree with your views and i fear for the future of this world if the Western powers give the go ahead on the war with Iran.
Iran is not a threat, they have not attacked any country in over 200 years, and have openly declared that they do not have nuclear weapons, and they've passed all the checks and tests, where as Western powers have almost de-stabalised most of the Middle Eastern countries.

There is great double standards being played out in the West, especially because they have nothing to go on with Iran.

I really hope this war doesn't happen, the last thing this world needs is more blood running through the streets.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
CapSen
Empathy. The faculty to feel what the other feels.
07:43 AM on 03/09/2012
At last. A voice of reason. If only more people would read this.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
gevan
big dubya
04:15 AM on 03/09/2012
It's nice to think that the leaders of nations would alway act in a rational way. However, we've had some experience that tells us that it is not always the case.
One problem we've had with Iran is that when they want to negotiate we don't and when we do they don't. If we can just synchronize our negotiating clocks maybe we could get somewhere.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Steelsil
Warren/Grayson 2016! Yes We Can!
01:35 AM on 03/09/2012
Remember Neda, who the world selected as a poignant example of Iranians butchered by the tyranny that rules them.  We cannot 'reason' with the government of Iran, but we may bring them to their knees with sanctions.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
CapSen
Empathy. The faculty to feel what the other feels.
07:44 AM on 03/09/2012
The whole idea of 'bringing someone to his knees' is entirely counterproductive. What would you do if someone tried that out on you?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Steelsil
Warren/Grayson 2016! Yes We Can!
01:52 PM on 03/09/2012
You cannot reason with tyrants.
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E4B32787
US Gov: The best that money can buy.
11:52 PM on 03/08/2012
There was a story about a student who wrote a paper how to build a nuclear bomb.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Aristotle_Phillips

The thing here is, this is something on paper. If someone had a copy of the paper, then presumably they would have the "capability" if they had the enriched uranium.

So, the whole idea of a "capability" seems ludicrous. Probably, every nation on earth has a similar "capability". It seems to me, the Congress is debating whether Iran should be attacked for its enrichment activities, since that enrichment along with the academics, as evidenced by the student, would equal "capability".

It looks like it is a stretch in order to negate the enrichment provisions of the nuclear Non Proliferation Treaty.

One other thing that is fishy in the nonsense we are hearing is, has anybody ever heard of a nation that has a nuclear arsenal that hasn't tested? Except Israel. And I hear it time and time again that Israel have 200 or so weapons. Who's going to build that many weapons without a lot of testing, unless the design was already tested. And if they had an already tested design, who proliferated that design and conducted the testing?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
CapSen
Empathy. The faculty to feel what the other feels.
07:46 AM on 03/09/2012
France.

Alle industrialized nations have the implicit capability to build nuclear weapons. Brazil, Japan, South Africa, the list is endless.
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Wozzeck
Pearl Bay, Australia
10:28 PM on 03/08/2012
Obama should be ashamed of himself for all his posturing about the completely non-existent threat of an Iranian nuclear weapons program: You can't make a nuclear weapon from enriched uranium GAS, which is what Iran has. To make enriched uranium METAL would take years and would would be easily discovered by the IAEA inspectors on the ground (which the MSM conveniently fail to mention)

Read:
http://www.21stcenturysciencetech.com/Articles_2011/Fall-2011/Nuclear_Report.pdf
thankgodimanatheist8
The answer to fools is silence
09:08 PM on 03/08/2012
"I foresee a future of cooperation between Iran, Israel, and America, based on a common republican spirit and tradition."

Mr. Stone you are so right. As soon as we decide that Iran with all its resources belongs to the Iranian people and stop trying to change the regime (which only prolongs the existence of the theocracy by using the pride and nationalism of the Iranian) we can start becoming friends again.

For now visits like yours help to bridge a people to people bond.

Thank you.
08:39 PM on 03/08/2012
Sean wrote:
"If we can succeed in staving off an imperialistic war in the coming years, I foresee a future of cooperation between Iran, Israel, and America, based on a common republican spirit and tradition."

What planet are you living on?
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E4B32787
US Gov: The best that money can buy.
12:15 AM on 03/09/2012
To analyze our approach to Iran, one needs to look at the Iraq war. We took out an Iranian adversary when we took Saddam out, and switched Iraq from Sunni control to Shiite control, which eliminated an Iranian national security threat, at a cost to the US of $1T. Yet, before the Iraq war started, we had stated that Iran constituted a part of an "axis of evil".

Therefore, there is no question in my mind that our $1T benefit to Iran was to be negated after the Iraq war concluded, with regime change in Iran. The only "error" was in the timetable, which allowed for the Iraq war to be concluded in 6 days, or 6 weeks, but no longer than 6 months. Needless to say, the stated timetable by Rumsfeld meant that these geniuses didn't contemplate the Iraq war costing $1T.

So, as far as I'm concerned, regime change in Iran was part and parcel of the Iraq war. And, I saw that in 2003, when the corporate media morphed from reporting news to promoting war with Iraq.

And, needless to say, the Republican party, who championed the war with Iraq are the biggest cheerleaders for war with Iran. Obama, who didn't support the war with Iraq is more circumspect. But, the politics if Israel starts the new war might wind sucking us in.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
CapSen
Empathy. The faculty to feel what the other feels.
07:47 AM on 03/09/2012
The planet we all have to live on.
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offred
A biocitizen is 3/5 of a corporate citizen
07:36 PM on 03/08/2012
Cui bono?

Time for a reprise of "War Is a Racket":

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F3_EXqJ8f-0
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06:27 PM on 03/08/2012
Great article, thanks to, Mr. Stone.
05:54 PM on 03/08/2012
This "doctrine" also legitimizes Iran attacking Israel to protect themselves from the 100+ nukes ISRAEL has
06:21 PM on 03/08/2012
On the one hand you have Iran with a threat to build nuclear bombs and on the other hand you have Israel with (possibly) nuclear war heads at the ready. Therefore, if Israel is threatened by Iran with annihilation, why is Israel not using nuclear response rhetoric against Iran??? And, if not, why???
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Wozzeck
Pearl Bay, Australia
10:31 PM on 03/08/2012
Iran has never threatened to build a bomb and the Supreme Leader has a fatwa against nuclear weapons. Iran has proposed a nuclear weapons-free middle east. Guess who rejected the idea out of hand.
11:53 PM on 03/08/2012
Because it's supposed to be a secret that Israel's government has nukes, if they threaten to nuke Iran they will have admitted that they indeed have Nukes and this could cause a global blow back.