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Health Care Reform that Will Kill the U.S. Economy


With little fanfare, Congressional leaders may be near to agreeing on the most sweeping expansion of government in a generation - the de-facto takeover of the health insurance market by the government. Congressional Democrats are already icing the champagne. When the President's "Medicare for all" plan is coupled with the budget, which contains a "down payment" of $634 billion over the next decade for health care, government-run health care may be inevitable.

All sides in this debate acknowledge that the U.S. has long needed easier access to health insurance. This need has gained urgency for the many Americans who are fearful of losing their employer-sponsored insurance in the midst of a recession. Unfortunately, the President's plan will not only endanger the U.S. economy, but millions of patients as well.

The fundamental problem is that the President and congressional leaders lack realistic plans to control the health care costs that are already crippling U.S. global competitiveness. As a percentage of GDP, our businesses spend roughly 70 percent more on health care than competitors in other developed nations, yet we hardly receive 70 percent more in real value. Health care costs also distort the efficient allocation of labor, and therefore the potential of economic growth and increases in wages. Because health insurance can be so expensive - some estimate $14,000 for a family - untold millions reluctantly opt to stay in jobs in large, dying firms that offer health insurance, rather than pursue jobs in the productive, small companies that do not.

The President's budget is short on cost-controlling details, but so far, the Democrats are relying on a new national health-insurance marketplace, modeled on Massachusetts, in which private health-care insurers compete with an expanded Medicare program. But the cost control benefit of public programs, like Medicare, and state-run markets, similar to the one in Massachusetts, is illusory. Any "savings" are achieved with accounting gimmicks that shift costs to taxpayers and future generations, through deficits and unfunded liabilities, not through genuine innovations.

Massachusetts, which operates a U.S. analogue to a national government-run health-insurance market, is, in fact, a case study illustrating why health insurance run by Washington would collapse on itself. By March 2009, the state's uninsured rate fell to 2.8 percent from about 6 percent. The market, stocked with private-sector insurance policies, had insured 169,000 people in two new programs, one of which directly subsidizes uninsured individuals.

Good news, right? Wrong. Both the political right and left have correctly criticized the Massachusetts market for its inability to control costs.

The left complained that costs were so high that 73,000 people were excused from the requirement to purchase health insurance. Further, when 2008 premiums in the subsidized plans rose by 8 percent to12 percent, the government raised enrollees' deductibles and co-pays.

Conservatives criticized the limits on the competition that could lower costs in the government-run market. For starters, the state standardized plan benefits. The choices for patients are akin to a Soviet-style supermarket stocked with essentially identical products.

Conservatives also bemoaned the excessive generosity in benefit design (plans must cover 43 benefits, including in vitro fertilization and chiropractor services). Finally, conservatives questioned the generous level of subsidies (families of four with income up to about $63,000 are eligible).

Not surprisingly, enrollment by subsidized enrollees was some 36,000 higher than expected, while the 19,000 unsubsidized enrollees represented only half of the expected number. The state's bill for employees and their families who work for large companies increased 24.6 percent to $793.7 million in the last fiscal year.

By 2009, Massachusetts enacted almost $800 million in new taxes to fund, among other things, the third year of health care reform. Now, the state government, desperate for revenue, is considering setting the prices of health insurance and essentially taking control over all health-care costs, other than Medicare and out-of-pocket spending. If this sounds like a march into a single-payer Soviet-style system, that's because it is.

Some Democrats argue that Massachusetts cannot control costs because it lacks a public-insurance product akin to Medicare. They view Medicare as a successful cost-controller, pointing to its low administrative overhead, which they peg at 3 percent. But that figure ignores an inconvenient truth: Medicare's unfunded liabilities, estimated at about $34 trillion.

The comparison between the administrative expenses of private insurers and Medicare also ignores the fact that Medicare pays no taxes and, as a monopoly, need not incur marketing expenses. Further, the monopoly power of Medicare and Medicaid enable them to underpay providers by an estimated $90 billion dollars, sums made up by private insurers. But if the market were entirely composed of public insurers, who would take up the slack? The looming doctor shortage could become a national crisis. Prospective physicians who would incur massive debt for their education would reluctantly opt for other occupations in which the government is not their sole source of revenues.

A government market with an underpriced Medicare would likely lead to the death of private-sector markets and products. A recent study by the Lewin Group estimated that up to 118 million people would eventually move into Medicare and out of private-sector plans.

Are we surprised? Public markets and their products are administered by legislators and bureaucrats who often lack the entrepreneurial vision and skills to develop the products that people want at a price they can afford.

In the end, the Democrats' health care reform will require drastic rationing of health care for the sick to control its costs. Consider Canadian patients, who may wait a year or longer to get radiation therapy. Or ask one of the nearly 1.8 million Britons who are waiting to get into a hospital or have an outpatient procedure. Or talk to the German breast cancer patients who are 52 percent more likely to die from the disease than Americans.

Concerns about rationing and patient outcomes are not demagoguery. How else can a government control costs in the real world? Many experts, including the Congressional Budget Office, dismiss as wishful thinking the Democrats' claims of achieving efficiencies through bureaucrats' dazzling implementation of information technology and other technocratic tools.

Of course, all of us must be assured of access to reasonably priced health insurance. But what matters most in this debate are not the good intentions of the President or congressional Democrats but the likely consequences of their policies. Ultimately, the Democrats' version of health care reform will gravely injure both our economy and our ability to provide medical care to the sick.



U.S. Senator Tom Coburn (R-OK), M.D. is a practicing physician specializing in obstetrics.

Regina E. Herzlinger is the Nancy McPherson Professor at the Harvard Business School and senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute. She is the author of Who Killed Health Care? (McGraw-Hill, 2007) and senior author of Financial and Managerial Accounting for Nonprofit and Government Organizations (South Western, 1994).

 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
nikto
12:54 PM on 05/04/2009
Conservatives seem not to understand much of anything anymore.

Self-interest and violent fantasies always seem to get in the way of their "logic".

Conservatives don't even seem very American anymore.

Sigh.
12:50 PM on 04/29/2009
This isn't rocket science as many would like you to believe. Our problem is corrption at the top and the massive amounts of money the AMA spends on lobbyist buying our beloved, selfless, honest and hardworking politicians.

Simplify this: cost must be controlled as they are in Japan (where I admired the system of national healthcare). The goverment sets the prices and that is it. The government limits what doctors charge and what corporations charge. Costs need to be published so all will know what is being paid for services. Doctors are paid salaries like nurses. No one makes over a million per year regardless of specialty.

Next, everyone pays. Every american can afford $100 per adult and $50 per child. Second, people over 65 years old pay nothing. That will conver all costs. No one needs to pay more for medical attention or medications.

To help pay for this cut military spending to double that of the next highest country. China is the next highest spender on military defense and it's $70 billion. So our budget should be $140 billion; NO MORE.

Let's take care of our citizens and not a bunch of lobbyists and military corruption. Every dime a company sends on lobbyists needs to be taxed at 50 percent. So if you spend $1 on lobbyist you pay $0.50 as a tax to be used to help pay for national insurance.

Tax lobbyists out of DC.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
John Graham
03:07 PM on 04/28/2009
Sen. Coburn has proposed significant health-care reform for years. Basically, he wants the government to return to you (tax-free) the share of your wages that it currently gives to your employer to give you health "benefits" that the company chooses. This would allow you to buy a policy (designed with minimal government interference) that you keep as you move from job to job and state to state. You would not fear becoming uninsurable, but you would have the responsibility of paying the premiums. So, you'd have to save some money in case you became unemployed. If his reform had been enacted, the average American family would have $9,000 more wage-income this year, plus a $5,000 tax-credit. Sen. McCain adopted much of his presidential platform on Sen. Coburn's plan.
It's a great plan: I don't want Congress to give me health care. I want Congress to give me my money back.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
onlinesavant
10:20 AM on 04/28/2009
I guess Coburn thought he was posting on freeepublic or redstate, or something. Shows a real lack of intellect when one comes to huffpost of all places with right-wing, non-sensical, regressive, talking points, under the premise that his tripe would just be accepted with no discrimination or analysis.
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jeliz
Think for yourselves.
08:22 AM on 04/28/2009
You need to see who Mr. Coburn is, a physician. Wikipedia him. It's enlightening.
12:36 AM on 04/28/2009
We also need to subsidize medical education, like they do in other countries.

More and more doctors aren't native English speakers, and don't quite get American culture, which makes important communication harder.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
AngelaQuattrano
I just like to write comments
08:09 PM on 04/27/2009
So what you're saying is that we should do nothing, because you guys don't have a plan.

I have a better idea. Let's trade health care plans. I've been uninsured for years, find out how it feels.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
lisakaz2
Da ministero dell'interno di Snark.
11:50 PM on 04/27/2009
I have Lyme Disease. Let's give him that AND no insurance. Hope he's type A or he'll need the ER as well.
07:54 PM on 04/27/2009
I think the problem here is that politicians are scared to get rid of insurance companies for political reasons, even though we would be much better off with a single-payer system. As for waiting lists, I hate to burst your bubble, but you will have to wait now, because as you brilliantly pointed out, there is a doctor shortage from all the uninsured people and other inefficiencies in the system. That's what shortage means.

I'm not sure why, for example why British and German women have a higher death rate from breast cancer. This statistic is throw around a lot as proof that their system is worse despite the fact that they much lower rates of preventable death. When I lived in Germany in 2005, it was the first time that a public health campaign was started to teach German woman to look for lumps in their breasts, while I know that these campaigns have been around much longer in the US-as long as I can remember. Maybe that has something to with it??? Always remember that statistics can be found to back up anything.
HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
DemAbroad
07:51 PM on 04/27/2009
Actually, Americans should talk to Britons, French, Germans and Swiss. I personally have the least expensive private medical insurance in Germany for about 350€ a month with no employer contribution. And I am well over 40! I have 100% hospitalization and 50% dental, including implants. I have a rather high deductible (2500€) for ambulatory care. This also includes a government mandated longterm care insurance which would cover home care were I to become an invalid. To pay for this, a national holiday was eliminated some years back.

No one goes backrupt in Germany because of medical care.
No one in Germany is refused care.
There is no rationing of healthcare in Germany.
The poor receive subsidies to purchase insurance.
No insurance company can cancel a policy for health reasons.
Hospitals and doctors' practices are not drowning in paperwork: each year, fees for various procedures and treatments are set by a kind of industry-government arbitration.
There are no long waits for specialists — I was able to see a venologist within three hours of a visit to my GP.
German physicians, however, are not fabulously wealthy. Public-mandated insurance companies are also non-profit.

Bandying about breast cancer statistics — you might also want to examine smoking patterns of German women before you blame it on the heathcare delivery system — don't negate the simple fact that every industrialized country has a better and cheaper healthcare delivery system than the United States.
schatsie
Wall Street is Worse than Vegas
09:03 PM on 04/27/2009
Masterful. covered all the basis and the comments about dental and Long term were very interesting...better than Medicare.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ProgressiveVoice
07:32 PM on 04/27/2009
"A government market with an underpriced Medicare would likely lead to the death of private-sector markets and products. A recent study by the Lewin Group estimated that up to 118 million people would eventually move into Medicare and out of private-sector plans.

Are we surprised? Public markets and their products are administered by legislators and bureaucrats who often lack the entrepreneurial vision and skills to develop the products that people want at a price they can afford."

So, what you are saying is, Medicare is so bad due to a lack of vision and skills on the part of bureaucratic administrators that almost 40% of the US population will dump private insurance and switch to Medicare?
05:41 PM on 04/27/2009
Help us here Senator, you do have healthcare coverage yes? And who provides it. Is it still U S taxpayers? Perhaps during the twelve years that Republicans were in control, and the last six total control of congress and the whitehouse, something, at least a debate could have occured about healthcare.
darcy
I'm the one on the left
05:40 PM on 04/27/2009
I absolutely do not believe these scare stories about Canada. I have an email friend in Montreal, and over the years various people among her family and friends have become ill and she has kept me abreast of their situations. The healthcare there seems to be excellent. I've never heard her say that so and so had to wait for an appointment. Every situation she has mentioned to me has shed a positive light on the Canadian system. And the absolute best part of their system is that it takes away the anxiety that we Americans constantly bear as we struggle with our inadequate insurance or no insurance.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ProudLiberalDan
Standing up an fighting conservatives since 1987
06:43 PM on 04/27/2009
I have several friends who live in Canada and what they fear most about health care is that their system would become like America's. If you want to throw a protest in Canada, propose making their health care system more like America's non-system.

We have LONG wait lines here. We have denied access here.

We have rationing here. Health insurance companies ration health care to maximize profits and CEO bonuses, not to provide actual health care.

Our system is ranked 37 in the world and no conservative propoganda is going to change the facts that our non-system doesn't work for the 90+% who cannot fly around the world to get health care treatments on demands.
07:04 PM on 04/27/2009
I have 'good' insurance. When I dislocated my kneecap I had to wait 8 hours in the ER & then they didn't have a leg brace that fit me. Also, I had a DO that cured my sinus infections but insurance doesn't cover those treatments. I kept having to go on antibiotics. One tiny adjustment by the DO & I never had another one. It's be over 10 years.
05:40 PM on 04/27/2009
Sen.Coburn probably uses a government run and financed health care system whenever possible and regards it highly. I.E. Walter Reed AMC or the National Naval Medical Center.

With 24 years experience (Medical Corps, USN) providing and receiving military medical care, I've got faith that the government can manage health care.

A government hand-out subsidizing private insurance company premiums for current policies won't save $$.

The solution may be Medicare for All, a safety net of essential preventative, diagnostic, and therapeutic services (including essential vaccines and medications) at minimal or no cost - depending on circumstances. The insurance industry can market supplemental policies providing varying coverage for everything else. I doubt any would go out of business with all the other insurance products (life, casualty, property, disability, etc.) they sell.

Let's go back to prohibiting pharmaceutical companies from advertising prescription meds to laymen; all the advertising $$ those companies would save could be "spent" selling those meds at a more appropriate price.

We have the resources for universal medical care. However, we spend on grossly excessive advertising, tobacco, alcohol, cosmetics, gambling, government waste (e.g., a far larger nuclear deterrence than needed) and other activities contributing little or nothing to our national well being.

The U.K. Canada, the Scandinavian countries and others don't have our overall financial resources or economic flexibility. Yet they support a humane health care system without impoverishing themselves. If they can do it, we can too - if we have the will.
11:14 AM on 04/28/2009
Ah, a kindred spirit! I'm a retired anesthesiologist and I and my retired colleagues are all in favor of a "single payer" system. A Canadian doctor friend whom I met when he worked here is delighted with his return to Canada.

His income is virtually the same because of his near zero overhead, and he needn't worry about how a patient can afford needed care. In fact, an illness that would have bankrupted him here (which began long after his return) is being cared for with no increase in his expenses beyond the taxes he pays.

Some doctors are indeed money grubbers and they are unethical. Most are not.

The real swine at the trough are the insurance companies, Big Pharma, and hospital supply outfits..
05:27 PM on 04/27/2009
John Walter, the federal govt may not be the solution but at the rate we are going something has to give or else our children and grandchildren will not even be able to call 911, talk less of going to the hospital becasue they will not be able to afford health insurance.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
chickenNgravy
05:20 PM on 04/27/2009
First, I am a surgeon in private practice in the Western States. I have also worked in the NHS in England.

I would not argue with the fact that are healthcare system needs fixing.

On the other hand, be careful what you compare it to. When I was a training surgeon for 6 months in England, my consultant left for three weeks and I operated alone as a training surgeon that entire period. That is not legal in the U.S. I would have patients beat on the head with a brick a dozen times and not get a CT scan of their head.

IAnyone can step up and complain about how uncaring, incompetent or greedy their Physician is. But, 100 Physicians are no different than 100 plumbers or 100 bank managers. There is the same range of range of talent, personality and goals.

If somebody graduates from college with a 3.9 GPA and a major in Molecular Biology, why would they want to go to four years of medical school (with an average debt of $140,000) and then six years of surgical residency only to finish and have the Government pay them 25 cents on the dollar to take out your appendix at 3 AM
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05:54 PM on 04/27/2009
No idea, why do they do it in Canada, France, Sweden, Finland, the U.K., Holland, Australia, Austria, Germany, New Zealand, Cuba, etc etc etc?
You're in the business couldn't you just ask some of the doctors and surgeons outside the U.S. and answer your own question?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
chickenNgravy
10:09 PM on 04/27/2009
Possibly, the Government pays for their education AND their malpractice.

So, if you want nationalized health care, I would not argue if the Government wants to pay me back the cost of my undergrad tuition and my Medical School tuition ($120,000).
Then, they can compensate me above $30,000 yearly I was paid as a resident for six years, often working over 110 hours/week.

What is your job? Do I have the right to tell you how many hours to work a week? Do I have a right to set your salary? If a pipe busts in my basement, the plumber comes and fixes it. If I don't pay him,should he be forced to come the next time? If your car breaks down, do you force the mechanic to fix it, then speed off?

When I get called at 3AM for an emergency, I don't ask if the patient has insurance. I go and I do my job. And if you don't have insurance, I will treat you exactly like every other patient and you will get exactly the same care from me.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
chickenNgravy
12:47 AM on 04/28/2009
Oh yeah,

In England, the consultant didn't go in at 3AM and do your surgery, I did. Well, not exactly, the medicine intern helped me.