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Sharan Burrow

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The World's Next Top (Economic) Model

Posted: 01/24/2012 9:15 am

Models are the hot topic at this week's gathering of political and business heavyweights in the Swiss mountain resort of Davos for the annual World Economic Forum (WEF).

Not of the pouting, long-legged variety who strut the catwalk, but economic models -- those invisible and mysterious systems that not only steer stock markets and currency prices but shape the livelihoods of each and every one of us.

And while there is unlikely to be a new black unveiled, organizers are canvassing discussion of an extreme makeover of the rules that govern global trade.

Economist and WEF founder Klaus Schwab is leading the charge, and is not mincing words about the failure of the status quo -- talking about 'outdated and crumbling models' and the need for new ways of thinking, going so far as to say that capitalism in its current form is not working.

Those are welcome words to labor leaders as we prepare to put our case for reform at Davos this week.

It's never been clearer that unrestrained market forces do not produce the kind of societies we aspire to -- economically stable and socially inclusive, where citizens have access to secure jobs with the dignity of a fair wage and a welfare safety net.

Just ask an unemployed parent in Greece, a pensioner in Britain, a subsistence farmer in Africa or an evicted homeowner in the US whether system is working for them.

Let's take a look at some of the characteristics of global economic circumstances:

- rising inequality: income inequality has risen over the past three decades in 17 of the 24 OECD countries for which data is available.

- social unrest: the International Labor Organization predicts significantly increased social unrest in many parts of the world, including countries in Europe, the Middle East and Asia.

- growing unemployment: European unemployment is expected to remain at nearly 10% this year.

- stagnating wages: in the US, the real median wage has been stagnant for 25 years, despite an almost doubling of GDP per person.

The drivers of these unwelcome trends are diverse, but some fundamental flaws in our current economic model stand out.

For example, High Frequency Trading (HFT) -- where stocks, options, futures and currencies are bought and sold in split-second trades by sophisticated computer programs -- accounts for a rapidly growing slice of international financial transactions.

In 2010 HFT accounted for 25% of spot foreign exchange transactions worldwide, 56% of US equity trading (up from 21% in 2005) and 38% of European equity trading (up from 9% in 2007).

The popularity of HFT continues to grow, allowing traders to pocket handsome profits from small margins on large, frequent trades -- but putting world markets at risk by significantly increasing volatility.

HFT is not just a smart program designed to create money for a select few -- it is a sign of a model that is breaking down and a clear indicator of the growing chasm between the current economic model and ordinary people's lives.

If between a quarter and a half of all global financial transactions are decided by a computer algorithm -- with no consideration of the impact on workers, on children, on pensioners, on health, on the environment -- it's clear why a mainstream economist like Klaus Schwab is decrying the 'morality gap' in current economic thinking.

I'm in Davos this week, with labour leaders from around the world, to put the people back into our economic system.

We are not looking to the WEF delegates to reinvent the wheel. What we need is for our political leaders to look beyond the narrow and restrictive prism of austerity to put jobs and growth at the center of plans to reboot the global economy.

International trade unions will be promoting five principles for dealing with our current economic challenges to political and business leaders in our meetings in Davos.

1. Jobs - it is workers in work who will drive the global economy out of crisis. We need investment in green economy infrastructure; public services, training and education; and a multilateral plan to create youth job opportunities. Five years of two per cent GDP invested in the green economy across six sectors in 12 countries can drive more than 55 million sustainable, decent jobs.

2. Social protection, sustainable demand and decent work - measures to mitigate social inequality are crucial to building a fairer, more stable global economy. These should include a social protection floor in every country, with a global fund to kick-start development in the poorest countries; minimum wages on which people can live with dignity and an expansion of collective bargaining to ensure fair work conditions.

3. Financial regulation - Governments must band together to stand up for the 'real economy', by putting a ban no algorithmic High Frequency Trading, regulating the credit rating agencies, and requiring transparency for the shadow banking system -- the hedge funds and investment vehicles that transact trillions of dollars but fall outside national regulatory systems.

4. Fair and progressive taxation - it is time to repair the balance sheets of governments through a fair contribution from those that can afford to pay: through making corporations pay their fair share, urgently implementing a broad-based, low-rate Financial Transaction Tax to reduce speculation and provide a new source of government funding to invest in public services, social protection and development.

5. Climate action - Governments must find the political will required to save our children's future, by reducing emissions of industrialised countries by 25-40% by 2020, implementing a green climate fund and ensuring a just transition for workers and communities.

If we embrace these principles and commit to a new economic model that serves these needs -- rather than just focuses on the often illusory creation of wealth and hopes for a "trickle down" effect -- then the WEF will have helped deliver a new model worthy of the prefix 'super.'

 
 
 
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12:32 PM on 02/16/2012
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12:37 PM on 01/26/2012
Certainly all excellent stuff. imo it generally summarises into returning to the 99% the distribution of wealth which the 0.02%+ have abstracted by legislative capture and fraud in the last 3 decades. Without that there would have been no paper asset bubbles at the top which we are all expected to pay for when they burst.
So until you eliminate tax havens or 'secrecy legislatures' so you've some chance of controlling the super rich most other measures are futile. And to do that will need international collaboration, the US, EU (with UK) + getting the international agencies on side - UN? E20? IMF, World Bank et. al.
This needs an upswelling of awareness and pressure from many 'ordinary people' around the world.

btw Occupy London have a supportive article in the Financial Times today Google: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/89d242b0-4687-11e1-89a8-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1kYcJtm78 Just don't take the headline too seriously, we didn't choose it.
04:35 AM on 01/26/2012
On the subject of top models, it's heartening to see that three letter word ending in 'x' up there.

I am talking, of course, about tax.

Don't forget to talk about the . . x havens though.
10:03 AM on 01/25/2012
Can capitalism really provide adequate care for a large demographic thrust that is about to go through the retired-to-death segment of their individual lives?? I doubt it. And the medical expense incurred in the last six months of life is prohibitive for payor but invigorating to a then oligopolist medical health care professional. If he or she is motivated by profit, this is a waste in both financial and ethical terms.
I am suggesting that the military nation building of foreign countries could be spent on this coming wave of older Americans with.... put it in military terminology "the fight against the enemy of age" and it can provide and asset to meet the coming liability. Or something like that.
10:15 PM on 01/24/2012
我是中国工人阶级的成员,再就业工会组织工作者,向国际工会联合会,致敬!I am a member of the Chinese working class, re-employment of workers in trade unions, the International Trade Union Confederation, to pay tribute!
10:08 PM on 01/24/2012
I visit the websites and post comments with the assistance of machine translation. Thanks my friends for their understanding, support and help."
• 各国的工人阶级,都在斗争,工人阶级诉求相同,工人阶级需要相互理解和支持!
Countries of the working class, in the struggle, the same demands of the working class, the working class the need for mutual understanding and support!

• 命运的注定,工人阶级需要抗争;命运注定,工人阶级需要斗争!我们的组织(国际劳工•国际工会),需要更加的努力,做出更大的贡献!
The fate of the doomed, the working class need to fight; fate of the doomed, the working class need to fight! Our organization (International Labor International Union), require more effort to make a greater contribution!
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Nangisai Young Matiza
21st Century Thinker
05:33 PM on 01/24/2012
very interesting article I enjoyed reading it, I am glad to see that for once we have people discussing not just the problems we face and the decaying love for capitalism but actually doing something about it. Like all things capitalism must evolve it must adapt if it is to survive, I would advocate for more public and open discussions of such issues with open minded and long term goals in mind. I think we have suffered long enough from self interest and short sighted profit seeking goals...
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InnaGaddaDaVida
follow the beat of your own drum
04:02 PM on 01/24/2012
How about we start with getting rid of money.
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Nosybear
Liar, damn liar, statistician and brewer
12:29 PM on 01/24/2012
Many of the problems above are caused by using wealth as a proxy for value. Bain Capital created very little value, in fact in many cases destroyed value, but grew very wealthy doing so. Wealth and value are not equivalent and conflating them is very dangerous.
05:08 PM on 01/24/2012
You are right, but the expression is generally a juxtaposition between use value and exchange value. The former in the utility sense, the latter in the paper gain sense. Wealth is the accumulation of the surplus in the terms of net worth which is the result of accumulated valuations derived from the current market.
It is really Marxist terminology but relevant to the discussion of today. Paper gains are the exchange values, and indeed they are all heightened when Al Greenspan, for example, lowers interest rates. Same stuff, but now higher paper value denominated in currency. Great parlor game for the filthy.
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Nosybear
Liar, damn liar, statistician and brewer
12:27 PM on 01/24/2012
I tend to view an economy as an emergent property of the society that hosts it. The economy is the sum of all exchanges in the society and will be strongly influenced by what the society values. If the society values wealth, the "economic system" will favor exchanges that create wealth, precisely the system we have seen in the past few years with all its problems. If the society values "quality of life", it will produce exchanges that make lives better such as education, health care, care for seniors and so forth. If the society values "utility", it will favor trades that increase efficiency and so forth. What the society values will be traded, emphasized and yes, even hoarded. "Economics" viewed this way is simply a view of what society values, a more useful view to me than viewing an economy as actually existing independently of the society that hosts it.
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TruelyFedUp
Ethics is nothing else than reverence for life.
01:45 PM on 01/24/2012
Here is our idea of how it should be working www.the-communal-solution.us
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laymancanuck
IGNORANCE has used up its quota of TOLERANCE
12:13 PM on 01/24/2012
Let's not forget this has been a conscious effort by the 1% to take control of the political system, and to manipulate the rules of the economic system for their benefit. We have witnessed the largest transfer of wealth in the history go mankind. Have your beliefs about the political/economic system been manipulated so your are a supporter of this historical and destructive event.
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TruelyFedUp
Ethics is nothing else than reverence for life.
01:44 PM on 01/24/2012
F & F
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Mark Knudsen
12:06 PM on 01/24/2012
Seem to me the only way world leaders and high rollers view the world is through the hole of a roll of dollar bills held up to their eyes...the old viking
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MassWG
12:00 PM on 01/24/2012
Climate action is hardly a priority in finding the next top economic model. And taxation mostly addresses redistribution, not actual growth and wealth creation. The trouble is that our current economic model is geared increasingly towards taking existing wealth and skimming the cream through the tricks of financialization. The model used to be CREATING wealth by producing, not just skimming wealth by banking.

Take what is NOT working - phony free trade - and make it work. Global "free" trade is mostly rigged to benefit the elites. If it is not going to be free, then rig it to benefit the masses. That means establishing trade policies that benefit workers in both developed and developing economies, rather than policies that benefit multinationals and corrupt politicians.
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philhellene
Far Left and Proud of It!
11:27 AM on 01/24/2012
Unfortunately, when the decision-makers have an economic investment (personal or otherwise) in following the path of austerity, that is what we will get, no matter how often it has been shown to be exactly the wrong path toward economic recovery.

In this world, for most, money trumps all other considerations.
PROGRESSISGOOD
Without Economic Justice, There Is No Justice!
11:20 AM on 01/24/2012
I am opposed to higher taxes on corporations. Corporations are not citizens, they do not recieve the benefits that citizens recieve. I do support higher taxes on those who receive the money produced by corporations, the stock holders. They have been receiving a windfall of cash for the past 30 years from the Reagan and Bush capital gains tax cuts.

Americans collectively own $115 trillion of net worth. That is all the cash, stocks, bonds, homes, vacation properties owned by the 330 million Americans is $115 trillion or more. Our anual federal budget is around $3 trillion.

With $115 trillion in the bank why are we cutting back on the investments needed to prepare America for competition in the 21st century. Where are the world class roads, schools, energy production and distribution systems, the world class telecommunications systems that are going to be needed by our children and grand children to compete with the rest of the world over the next 50 years?

Our infrastructure deficit is around $6 trillion. Building a world class telecomunications and energy sytem probably another $3 to $4 trillion. A drop in the bucket for a country with $115 trillion in the bank.

What is wrong with Republicans today, DO THEY HATE AMERICA'S CHILDREN, DON'T THEY CARE ABOUT THEIR FUTURE? Would Republicans really prefer to let the mega rich keep all this wealth for themselves, rather than build a competitive country for the future, for their own children and grand children.
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TruelyFedUp
Ethics is nothing else than reverence for life.
01:43 PM on 01/24/2012
How can you live in a glass bubble reality and ignore the effects of our expansionist/consumer model on the environment and expect your grandchildren to survive it? Watch the movie HOME and the documentary The End of The Line and you will get a sense of the urgent need to change this paradigm if we are to leave any kind of viable future for the generations that come after us.

HOME http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jqxENMKaeCU
The End of the Line http://endoftheline.com/film
oilfield
large employer per obamacare
01:51 PM on 01/24/2012
we owe 15trillion....soon we will need to confiscate all wealth, or we will have massive inflation.