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Simon Johnson

Simon Johnson

Posted: March 3, 2010 03:16 PM

After the Hamilton Project

What's Your Reaction:

In 2006 Robert Rubin and his allies created the Hamilton Project, housed at the Brookings Institution, to think about what a future Democratic administration would do. (Senator Obama attended the opening.)

From a tactical standpoint, this was a brilliant move. It developed people, including Peter Orszag and Jason Furman (directors of the project), trained a team, and created an agenda.

Unfortunately, financial reform was not -- and perhaps still is not -- on this agenda. The financial crisis more than blindsided them; it overturned their entire way of thinking about the world. At least in part, this explains their slow, partial, and unsatisfactory response. In any case, it hasn't worked out for them -- or for us.

Wednesday morning there was a potential step in another direction. (Alternative link.) There are many questions.

Can would-be reformers agree? This is probably the easy part, at least for now.

Will there be continuity and personnel development, for example in the Institute for New Economic Thinking and the Roosevelt Institute?

Where's the "Geithner wing" of this movement -- i.e., the people with practical policy experience inside the regulatory machine, who can be brought in to senior government positions?

And who will provide the political leadership? All eyes are on the Senate -- but who exactly will step up and on what basis?

Cross-posted from The Baseline Scenario.

 
 
 
In 2006 Robert Rubin and his allies created the Hamilton Project, housed at the Brookings Institution, to think about what a future Democratic administration would do. (Senator Obama attended the ope...
In 2006 Robert Rubin and his allies created the Hamilton Project, housed at the Brookings Institution, to think about what a future Democratic administration would do. (Senator Obama attended the ope...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
pjwrites
01:34 PM on 03/04/2010
Seriously, the very last thing our government and financial industry wants or needs if reform. It works form them. It doesn't work for the other 300 million of us, but then, we don't seem to mind, either.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
terramartom
Grapes of Wrath!
08:36 AM on 03/04/2010
Rubin is a Washington insider and a crook.
10:53 PM on 03/03/2010
Democratic Agenda? By whose words? Isn't the Hamilton Project another Pete Peterson brain child? He's not a Democrat at all.
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Hiphopcrates
Kicking the money lenders out of the Temple
08:33 PM on 03/03/2010
Oh God, we're toast!
Linda from Deerfield
Paying attention
08:32 PM on 03/03/2010
I hope this goes beyond monetary policy to economic policy. I hope the infallibility of economic theory will finally be put behind us and replaced with humility of the kind that is reflected in open and genuinely informative measurements.

Business is having a lot of trouble these days selling their idea that whatever is good for them is good for the country, because that idea appears to be mistaken. It is government's duty to represent all of the people, not to enlist us unwillingly in economic experiments -- unless we are all on board. It is a shame that so many were pulled in by the notion of a rising tide lifting all boats that some of us have failed to notice that the results are in and the experiment was a failure -- it began with a meaningful exchange between academia, business, and government, and it was abandoned to a presumption that it would all work as predicted without paying much attention.

It is no wonder that there are few alternatives to draw upon -- I have heard of students protesting the absence of all but one economic theory in university curricula. Not to mention, any significant change will take years. I view it as a failure of economics academics that we are left groping. Someone could have become the next big name in economics, but it doesn't seem like anybody has much to offer except around the edges.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jabailo
(Participant) Texeme.Construct()
08:27 PM on 03/03/2010
What is the point of Reform when there's no Enforcement? At least George Bush prosecuted the Enron people who got away with grand larceny during Bill Clinton. But now? Even after all the shennanigans, Obama has yet to put in place a valid SEC or a strong financially knowledgeable Justice Department. Instead, quite the opposite...he's let everything slide or just ignored his executive duties of Enforcing the Law instead of doing Congress' work of making the Laws.

Professor Obama might well have better used his skills in academe where he could opine, pontificate or bellow about how things should be. But that's not the job of President. As President, you execute! Right now, almost all the financial irregularities could be swept away with vigorous application of existing law plus the modernization of SEC staff and technology.
07:07 PM on 03/03/2010
I don't believe there are too many people in DC who can start a campfire using a box full of matches let alone think, really think about solutions that work. There are no real players around who can do this. It isn't Robert Rubin.

It would be Simon Johnson, but not Robert Rubin. Rubin plays-pretends he has competent skills, but in reality he is only pretending. These guys learned nothing from the Tech Bubble, while creating the environment for the Housing Bubble and Lil'Boy Bush's Home Ownership Society.

http://eye-on-washington.blogspot.com
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
wethepeople3884
in Order to form a more perfect union ...
06:59 PM on 03/03/2010
Did it really turn around their whole way of thinking because it seems to me that they still think the exact same way as before the crisis. They think banks can and should be able to regulate themselves. They think derivitives dont actually pose systemic risk that can blow up the entire economy. They think that financial institutions that are involved in both banking, insurance and trading securities cannot take america hostage for hundreds of billions of dollars again and do not pose a tremendous financial and security risk to the entire nation due to their conflicting interests and powers.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
wethepeople3884
in Order to form a more perfect union ...
06:59 PM on 03/03/2010
They do not think the fed is inept - in fact, obama somehow found his way into believing that the very same people that caused the crisis can prevent the next one ie geitner, summers, bernanke, rubin, etc. I think all of this would be the exact same had we never had a great recession - nothing has been passed, nothing has been changed or fixed, no one has been fired and the miserably failures at life were whole-heartedly supported and even promoted by obama. This country is in desperate need of a real regulatory agency that is very strong and very consumer aligned aka no former ceos, lobbyists or failed regulators of the fed invited. The SEC had its own tremendous problems. The first and most obvious step towards reform would have been forcing goldman and morgan stanley to break up before they saw a dime of taxpayer money That was crucial, imperative and a tremendous opportunity that obama completely failed to take advantage of. If the huge institutions continue to exist, no reform will ever alleviate the risk.
09:16 AM on 03/04/2010
One thing has changed. A lot of us are poorer, many are jobless and more are homeless. The things that haven't changed are the rich keep getting richer, they have no accountability, and Washington doesn't want to do anything about the widening disparity.
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goodog
Honk if you believe in a public editor.
06:41 PM on 03/03/2010
"The financial crisis more than blindsided them; it overturned their entire way of thinking about the world."

Actions speak louder than words, and business as usual screams no lesson was learned.

Except for saying that the fix has been in since 2006, and pointing us to a conference home page he cryptically hints is a step in another direction, I don't know what Johnson's post is about?

I'm a Simon Johnson fan, and I've never seen him so vague.
04:32 PM on 03/03/2010
That shows how out of touch they are. We're getting the shaft and they don't even know it.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Donald Fannin
04:19 PM on 03/03/2010
All you brilliant think tankers. Have it all planned out, then reality smacks you in the kisser.