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Simon Johnson

Simon Johnson

Posted: June 22, 2010 12:39 PM

Paul Krugman for OMB

What's Your Reaction:

This post originally appeared on The Baseline Scenario.

The president should nominate Paul Krugman to replace Peter Orszag as director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB). (Orszag resignation details are here.)

We have previously reviewed Krugman's outstanding qualifications for this (or any other top level) job (link to details). The main reason Krugman himself has been reluctant in the past relates to a potentially difficult Senate confirmation hearing -- for example, if Krugman had been put forward to replace Ben Bernanke.

But for the OMB position, the dynamic of a hearing would be terrific for the president's specific agenda and broader messages. Krugman, of course, is the leading advocate for continued (or increased) fiscal stimulus. This is exactly President Obama's message to the G20 this weekend.

Plus, when Republicans push back against Krugman on this issue, he will let them have it full blast on fiscal policy during the Bush administration. Krugman has, again and again, been an outspoken critic of the Bush era fiscal policy. He has precise chapter and verse on where the Bush team went off the deep fiscal edge.

Krugman also stands for responsible medium-term fiscal policy -- he wrote the original definitive work, after all, on balance of payments crises. But the point is not to engage in precipitate and panicky fiscal austerity (as announced in the UK today), but rather to put the overall debt onto a sustainable path. It is very hard to do that when the people claiming the represent "fiscal prudence" are actually the ones who created this massive mess in the first place. Krugman can set the public record straight on this -- it would be great television and very good economics.

This is exactly what the debate on our current deficit and future debt path needs. The Obama administration lost the narrative on this point also (as well as on banking and much more). Paul Krugman can get them back on track.

 
 
 
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
BearIy Here
11:42 PM on 06/28/2010
Krugman and Obama would compete to see who could spend the most money in the least amount of time. At least they would both be happy. The rest of us, who get stuck with the bill, would be miserable.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
James Michael Gregg
Liberal in Sacramento
07:53 PM on 06/27/2010
Paul Krugman would be the wisest choice for this position. He could help get things running smoothly again.
07:25 PM on 06/27/2010
wow how surprising: one NYTs redistributive tax and spend liberal progressive who has never seen a deficit too big for his tastes and plays an economist in the media supports another NYTs redistributive tax and spend liberal progressive who has never seen a deficit too big for his tastes and plays an economist in the media.
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MyTake
Release the Hydrogen Economy now!
06:26 PM on 06/27/2010
No sir, my selection is Robert Rubin, currently co-Chair of the Board of Directors for the NY Council on Foreign Relations.

The reason for my selection is that the Council has already supplied 350 of their 3000 membership roster to the Prez for appointments across his Administration including his entire economic team of Volcker, Geithner, Summers and the head of that PRIVATE CENTRAL BANK called the Federal Reserve.

So, let's keep this appointment in the CFR family (or as I call them; the Shadow Government of the United States of Corporate America).
11:33 AM on 06/27/2010
If this ever occurred our economy would crash because it would provide the bond ghouls everything they need to raid the US the same way they raided Greece. Plus we would never be able to sell a bond at a decent rate, plus a VAT tax would become inevitable further destroying an economy just trying to get started again from the Bush years. Both are equally bad since both Bush and Krugman have little regard to the fiscal soundness of the USA before ideology. Unless the goal is to keep unnerving the markets and thus our economy, or to destroy any chance of holding power in the fall, we should stop such nonsense.
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Downrivers
Siskiyou Mountains
11:02 AM on 06/27/2010
The President has given NO indication he values Dr Krugman's opinions in any way.

it seems as if the Neocons are still pretty much in control of the country.
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SaddleBum
you want this hat, admit it
05:46 PM on 06/27/2010
geithner, summers

johnson must be high
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
cplKlyde
09:59 AM on 06/27/2010
There is no way in hell that even a mildly progressive person like Krugman would be allowed within a mile of this administration's economic inner circle. Only banksters and wall street insiders need apply.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
realitytrumpsbull
Two 'alves of coconut!
10:36 AM on 06/27/2010
Maybe if we sold a bunch of BALANCE THE BUDGET! NOW!!!! stickers, they'd get the picture? Nah.
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06:06 PM on 06/27/2010
You nailed it. They wouldn't allow it and neither would Obama. Why? because Kugman would want to impliment the things Obama ran on, and that was all talk.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
offred
A biocitizen is 3/5 of a corporate citizen
09:52 AM on 06/27/2010
Too brilliant and forward-thinking to happen.
09:15 AM on 06/27/2010
So let me see if I get the author's logic...Bush spent big and Obama is spending even bigger, so Krugman will just tell the Republicans to shut up and let him spend as he pleases. He'll then somehow balance our budget without austerity measures, without cutting SS or Medicare or healthcare. It will be just like the HR bill where they promise to provide all these goodies to everyone with better quality while cutting costs. That's like saying if I run up all my credit cards, I'll be rich.
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PenGoddess
We are the Universe
10:11 AM on 06/27/2010
Actually, I think it's more like, "If I lose my job and I use my credit card to help me buy what I need to find a job (training, a new suit, copies of my resume, gas to get to the interview), I'll increase my chances of getting a job."
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Poiks
02:45 AM on 06/27/2010
Appointing Krugman would make Obama seem liberal, and if the last 18 months have taught us anything, it's that he ain't that liberal.
06:52 AM on 06/27/2010
Exactly....Obama would never put a progressive in such an important post. He's going to get another person who is pro-Wall Street. This, of course, will continue the recession and the democrats will be pulverized in the next few elections for being weak and stupid.
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PenGoddess
We are the Universe
10:13 AM on 06/27/2010
He claims to want to hear and ponder all sides of an issue. Maybe he'll put Krugman in to balance things a bit. Maybe if everyone who agrees with Simon starts flooding the WH with emails supporting Krugman, they would at least think about it.
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06:10 PM on 06/27/2010
I like the way you think but I don't think there's a chance. Look at how they treated Volker. Hid him in a corner until Brown won in Mass and then he relized I better at least pretend or I might lose my base.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
marignymitch
E pluribus unum percent
05:38 PM on 06/24/2010
Yes. Yes. And Yes. However he's smarter than O and much less corporate so it'll never happen.
06:53 AM on 06/27/2010
Precisely.....it will be another pro-wall street, centrist, do-nothing.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
FREEDOM BELL
07:46 PM on 06/27/2010
You are correct.

"Centrist" is the outlook that "everything is fine."
05:10 PM on 06/24/2010
What is one more communist in the WH!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Poiks
02:46 AM on 06/27/2010
It would be one, actually.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
mbo2
02:36 PM on 06/24/2010
In his 1932 election campaign, Herbert Hoover boasted that more public works had been built in the four years of his administration than in the previous thirty. Federal spending ballooned from $2.9 billion in 1929 to $4.4 billion in 1931, a 52% increase. Part of this gusher of cash went to build the Hoover Dam on the Colorado River.

This spending binge, in the midst of recession, brought huge deficits.
Hoover then tried to address the deficit with a huge tax hike. In 1932, the top income tax rate in the US rose from 25% to 63%. He also tried to implement a national sales tax, but this was defeated. This followed the infamous Smoot-Hawley Tariff of 1930, which put a 60% tariff on more than 3,200 products.

After 1933, the Roosevelt administration pursued much the same approach. By 1935, Federal expenditures had grown to $6.4 billion, and in 1940 they hit $9.5 billion - over three times the level in 1929.
That year, the top personal income tax rate was 79%. President Roosevelt's Treasury Secretary, Henry Morgenthau, described the results in May 1939:

"We have tried spending money. We are spending more than we have ever spent before and it does not work. ...We have never made good on our promises... I say after eight years of this Administration we have just as much unemployment as when we started... And an enormous debt to boot."
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02:56 AM on 06/27/2010
Nice narrative.
09:10 AM on 06/27/2010
Yet talk to the Kaynesians like Krugman and they'll tell you all that spending and tax increases got us out of the depression. They don't bother looking at Europe which has applied those theories for years with virtually no economic growth to show for it.
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PenGoddess
We are the Universe
10:17 AM on 06/27/2010
Perhaps a better balance between the two schools of thought would be helpful. Krugman would be a nice counter balance who won't just roll over and do whatever the wall streeters and banksters say. And I think what we really need is to find a good middle ground because neither extreme seems to be effective on its own.
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Democrat in the South
Empathy, the most important word
10:08 AM on 06/24/2010
WTH are they waiting on? We are going down. Krugman is the best man for the job. Maybe all of us just keep beating our heads against a wall when we can see clearly what needs to be done but the White House keeps doing what does not need to be done. Maybe the White House does NOT want to do the right thing for the country and put the BEST people in place.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
FREEDOM BELL
07:49 PM on 06/27/2010
Obama knows what is right but chooses to do what is wrong. No, he does not care about the USA, after all. He does not care about Americans, after all.

We need to elect someone else as the Democratic nominee in 2102.
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Democrat in the South
Empathy, the most important word
11:22 PM on 06/27/2010
I won't be around in 2102. ;-)
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09:09 AM on 06/24/2010
Peter (the nerd) Orzag AKA "the hottie" should be replaced by another "hottie", Krugman makes sense in this context. Good catch


http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/06/22/peter-orszag-resigns-a-lo_n_621274.html