More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
Simon Johnson

Simon Johnson

Posted: November 12, 2010 10:12 AM

Vikram Pandit Has No Clothes

What's Your Reaction:

Vikram Pandit heads Citigroup, one of the world's largest and most powerful banks. Writing in the Financial Times Thursday morning, with regard to the higher capital standards proposed by the Basel III process, he claims

There is a point beyond which more is not necessarily better. Hiking capital and liquidity requirements further could have significant negative impact on the banking system, on consumers and on the economy.

Mr. Pandit is completely wrong. To understand this, look at the letter published in the Financial Times earlier this week by finance experts from top universities -- the kind of people who trained Mr. Pandit and his generation of bank executives.

The professors write,

Basel III is far from sufficient to protect the system from recurring crises. If a much larger fraction, at least 15%, of banks' total, non-risk-weighted, assets were funded by equity, the social benefits would be substantial. And the social costs would be minimal, if any.

The point is that "bank capital" just reflects the choice between debt and equity -- to "have more capital" simply means to rely more on equity relative to finance. From the professors again, and remembering that these people also have a great deal of practical experience,

High leverage encourages excessive risk taking and any guarantees exacerbate this problem. If banks use significantly more equity funding, there will be less risk taking at the expense of creditors or governments.


Bankers warn that increased equity requirements would restrict lending and impede growth. These warnings are misplaced. First, it is easier for better-capitalized banks, with fewer prior debt commitments hanging over them, to raise funds for new loans. Second, removing biases created by the current risk-weighting system that favor marketable securities would increase banks' incentives to fund traditional loans. Third, the recent subprime-mortgage experience shows that some lending can be bad for welfare and growth. Lending decisions would be improved by higher and more appropriate equity requirements.

Mr. Pandit is a smart individual and he knows all this -- he has a Ph.D. in finance from Columbia University. Why then does he advance such obviously specious arguments in the pages of the Financial Times?

The answer is straightforward.

a) He can get away with it. Modern financial CEOs float in a cloud above the public discourse; they can spout nonsense without fear of being contradicted directly in the pages of a leading newspaper.

b) Officials listen to bank CEOs and an op ed gets their attention. Perhaps they think Mr. Pandit knows what he is talking about -- or perhaps they know that these arguments are completely specious. In any case, they are deferential.

c) Mr. Pandit is communicating with other CEOs and, in this fashion, encouraging them to take recalcitrant positions. There is an important element of collusion in their attempts to capture the minds of regulators, politicians, and readers of the financial press.

Mr. Pandit is engaged in lobbying, pure and simple. Ask the people who invented modern finance theory and figured out how it should be applied (second to last paragraph),

Many bankers oppose increased equity requirements, possibly because of a vested interest in the current systems of subsidies and compensation. But the policy goal must be a healthier banking system, rather than high returns for banks' shareholders and managers, with taxpayers picking up losses and economies suffering the fallout.
 
 
 
 
 
  • Comments
  • 208
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
Page: 1 2 3 4 5  Next ›  Last »  (6 total)
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Sam1jere
Open-minded, sports lover, Red
04:56 AM on 11/17/2010
I agree with jstrate that economics is a technical area few outside of the discipline know. What the media has consistently failed to do is simplify this for the people's sake e.g. CNBC. The other area most societies have failed in is glorification of weath and wealthy elites like Vikram. With great power (or wealth) should come greater responsibility. No one must be allowed to get away with malpractice regardless of societal standing.

Jargon is often used to hide meaning. The club Vikram belongs to is a small elite. That should be scrutinized even more and the public fully involved in this. The financial sector's madness must never occur again.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jstrate
11:46 PM on 11/14/2010
99.9% of the American public know little or nothing about modern finance theory. A few, like the author, do. The financial community contributes a lot of money to elected public officials. Simon Johnson and most professors do not. Who are the elected public officials going to listen to? The voice of reason or the voice of those who give them money? The financial community like other special interests see no particular ethical obligation to promote the public interest. That's the job of elected public officials who are supposed to represent the people who elected them to public office or, more broadly, their constituents. If the American people are foolish enough to put up with the broken political system in place today, that's their problem.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
11:38 PM on 11/14/2010
So let us hear from all the Obama supports, whats your take on this? Has Obama sold us down the river? Will he leave office in 2012 a muli-millionaire and leave us with the bill? The country in the toilet?
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
marijam
Independent
06:36 PM on 11/14/2010
Oh, yeah, be sure to move your money.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
marijam
Independent
06:36 PM on 11/14/2010
Take all the regulations off, giving them enough rope to hang themselves, and they will, then don't rush in and bail them out. Problem solved.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
amleth
big fan of humanity - very often disappointed
06:15 PM on 11/14/2010
The pinstripes on these guys' suits need to be rotated 90 degrees and made wider.

They will never go to jail, but they are the greatest thieves and have done the most egregious harm to their society - out of massive, unrepentant, unbridled greed - of any group in recorded history.If there were a real heaven and hell, they would have already gone down, still living and quivering, to serve their sentences of eternity.

The political consequences of their predation may be permanent harm or possible devastation of the very ideas and ideals of democracy.

The Republican plot to bankrupt the government that was undertaken in the 1980s is a pale, amemic wannabe compared to these guys' destruction of their society.

Oh, but that's right, like Margaret Thatcher famously averred, there is no such thing as society, and nothing is owed by those who profit in the world to those from whose lives and resources they make their profits.

These guys are beneath contempt and beyond acknowledgment of what they are.

Peace, to the peaceful, confound the exploiters.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
2garen
04:30 PM on 11/14/2010
Arrogance on the part of the meritorious is even more offensive to us than the arrogance of those without merit: for merit itself is offensive.
Friedrich Nietzsche
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
pattiepcomedy
Funny IT gal
01:34 PM on 11/14/2010
What has happened to America? It seems like everyone decided to turn evil. When they see a group getting away with stealing millions and getting bonuses from taxpayers (Wall Street, insurance companies), everyone wants to jump in and steal all the money that fell from the van. What makes a Mama Grizzly barely making it on $250,000 a year and taking care of her family, to a women who will spout whatever they want you to hear and $7m isn't enough to take care of her family the way it needs to be? What makes a CA mom spend $160m in a gamble to take over the government (I would have found a better purpose for that money)? How can all these people go home on their long vacations not caring that they didn't vote on unemployment benefits? Those people just don't care anymore for their fellow human beings, only if those human beings belong to a ritzy country club. It's just a sad situation we have found ourselves in.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Mike Keough
12:28 PM on 11/14/2010
I fault the shareholders. I would think that they would look at the recession, the unemployment rate which just will not budge, and then look at the reasons for the mess the entire world is in, and the look at the reasons and act. Nope. They look at stock prices, balance sheets, and profit statements and sit back, light a fat cigar and think... what thief will make this all work for me. In that the share holders are all chums and belong to the same country clubs, what should we expect? This is where Government is supposed to step up. This is not some "overly protective, Mama's Boy, " kind of entitlement Government...this is it's primary duty. This is about National Security, and the spin masters have entire segments of our Citizenry thinking that it's Obama overreach. Geez, this is a nightmare.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
07:21 PM on 11/14/2010
Wall street has Americans over a barrel. If you don't participate in a 401K, you may get a whopping 1% return from your bank. I want to take my money out of my 401K, until I do, I am only investing in bonds. I have no more trust in me.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Mike Keough
01:41 AM on 11/15/2010
You know how people are always saying to vets, " I appreciate your service"? Well, I appreciate yours. You have worked, and are attempting to invest your own loot so that you can retire in safety and comfort. That is as admirable as we get, so I thank you. You don't trust you? You are the best we have. The best we can hope for, and I salute you. There must be investments you can make which are honorable and pay a decent return. I pray for you and your family. And even tho you said ... whatever, you have brightened my day. Mike
QuietLightTraveler
Scientist, Teacher, Naturalist, Photographer
10:08 AM on 11/14/2010
The financial markets have never been regulated sufficiently. Again, of course, it is due to greed
and the ineffectiveness and corruption in our government. These big banks make money by ripping people off and as we have seen some of their activities are fraudulent. They make no products and just shift wealth around. I wouldn't be interested in working in the financial industry in ten lifetimes. Boring!
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Jim Krow
11:39 AM on 11/14/2010
None of the companies that own these industrialized governments make anything, Insurance companies take 25% of a person's net income. Four banks control half the money in America. "Big Oil" exploits natural resources globally and lobbys to make sure they have the right to contaminate our environments with their refineries and vehicle emissions from using their products. The war people do manufacture products, but their use is for destruction of people and property and to create jobs for contractors, such as XE and Halliburton to kill and maim citizens of foreign countries that we decide to occupy for no good reason.
Lowering the value of the dollar will help increase exports as it makes arms cheaper for foreign countries to buy, but we were already the worlds leading exporter of arms.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Di Knox
03:20 PM on 11/14/2010
Thats odd...I thought we were the world's leading exporter of jobs.

Your analysis is spot on-our economy has been economically terrorized and the politicians have co-opted this great transfer of wealth.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
48thGuy
09:29 AM on 11/14/2010
Why is this guy still in the news..His leadership is equal to that of the Titanic, watching for the mother of all icebergs without a clue of the destruction to come.
thebigbike
ran away to be a cowboy
11:58 PM on 11/13/2010
So, since A.P. Giannini, can you name me ONE major bank CEO President CFO who hasn't been a self-serving nest feathering prevaricator? ( I don't want to come right out and say LIAR,, but "fib" isn;t strng enough either.)
BigDaddyWow
This member is licensed to spank
10:59 PM on 11/13/2010
The Dodd-Frank bill set Americans up for endless whining from Wallstreet; like pulling a bandaid off too slow. Our pathetic government should have dropped the hammer in early 2009, reinstated Glass-Steagell and broke these guys up when we had the chance. Pandit is only the first and this BS will never end ... until they crash America again (estimated in 2016).
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Di Knox
03:25 PM on 11/14/2010
I give it sooner than that...Look for the next crash to occur with For Profit schools. They have managed to saddle students with thousands of dollars in debt and an inability to help them find jobs.

Given that the government recently took over the student lending program-we'll have to eat those losses and there will be losses. The question is when will all of this hit the fan-right now you can almost receive unlimited deferments on student loans but once republicans realize this I'm certain they'll want to change the rules. And POTUS will likely capitulate
09:53 PM on 11/13/2010
Why is Pandit given any credibility? Isn't he one of the guys who crashed the system and had to be bailed out?
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Robert Cantor
I am a human being descended from an exclusive gro
09:13 PM on 11/13/2010
in a nation (the US) that apparently believes in the divine right of kings, or of Rich People, those Rich People might as well say anything they want.