A senior White House official has confirmed that Vice President Joe Biden will take the lead on the administration's next phase China policy.
While the Departments of State and Treasury have held important functional roles in conducting the China-US Strategic and Economic Dialogue meetings, raising the bilateral status of US-China relations with ongoing meetings between two senior US Executive Branch officials with two of China's most senior leaders, Vice Premier Li Keqiang and State Councillor Dai Bingguo, there has been a general sense that neither Timothy Geithner nor Hillary Clinton and her team were comprehensively driving US-China policy.
The White House official made clear that the coming shift in the locus of US-China policy management was not a critique of either Clinton or Geithner's management of the China portfolio -- but rather, the rise of Hu Jintao heir apparent and current Vice Premier Xi Jinping as the likely next President of China created certain practical challenges in dealing with him on a same-status level throughout much of 2012 until Xi's accession to the presidency is formalized.
The view of some of the administration's China-handlers is that management of US-China policy has become so central to a vast array of other policy challenges that the administration's approach needs to be both broad and managed with "a deep and senior bench." The evolution of many functional offices at the Department of State and Treasury tasked with various line items in the China-US Strategic and Economic Dialogue has helped stabilize many aspects of the relationship and has helped to benchmark meeting to meeting progress on core concerns.
National Security Advisor Thomas Donilon has essentially been holding the China policy portfolio himself since September 2010 when in the early part of that month he and then Obama national economic advisor Lawrence Summers went to Beijing to attempt a reset in a quickly deteriorating US-China economic and military relationship. For the most part, currency politics aside, Donilon's mission has succeeded -- and he has since preempted either Clinton's China hands, particularly Assistant Secretary of State Kurt Campbell, or Geithner's team from taking primacy over US-China policy.
The shift to a strategy of engagement with Biden at the top, orchestrated by Donilon, allows the US to deal with China's likely next president from a Vice President to a Vice Premier/Next President status -- and to continue both the Departments of State's and Treasury's ongoing engagement with other designated key Chinese leaders.
After President Obama's 2008 presidential win, the original intention of the White House was to focus the Vice President primarily on domestic matters -- telling this writer at the time to remember that Joe Biden had recently been featured in Working Mother magazine. Part of the concern at the time was that with such personalities as Defense Secretary Bob Gates, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, then National Security Advisor General Jim Jones, super-general-in-the-field David Petraeus, CIA Director Leon Panetta, Envoys Richard Holbrooke, former Senator George Mitchell, Stephen Bosworth, and Dennis Ross -- Joe Biden as a roving foreign policy/national security hand wasn't perceived to be stabilizing to a strong-on-divas Obama team.
However, Joe Biden quietly took on national security tasks that were key to President Obama and that needed more off the newspaper front page handling. These included laying the groundwork for the major nuclear materials summit that the Obama administration hosted in April 2010 as well as lining up the continuity of thinking and policy deployment tying together this nuclear materials and WMD summit with President Obama's Nuclear Posture Review and the Senate passage of the New START treaty. Biden also played a leading role -- along with Defense Secretary Bob Gates -- in the "Russia reset."
And whether Iraq's democratic-appearing government survives or not, the person who did more than any other behind the scenes to broker the deals and to play communications envoy between factions of Iraq's fractured political order was Joe Biden. Biden has worked nearly every day -- and definitely every week of his tenure in the vice-presidency trying to seduce former, bitter enemies to realize that they had more ultimately to gain for their constituents, their nation, and themselves personally if they held together the semblance of a constitutional arrangement rather than ripping it up and devolving into civil war once again.
Biden has checked off the boxes of Iraq, Russia, and nuclear materials -- and his foreign policy slate is largely clear.
While this writer thinks he should be the person who does for US-Afghanistan policy what he did in the US-Iraq case, a topic for another day, Biden's next big task will be the next phase evolution of US-China policy.
-- Steve Clemons is Washington Editor at Large at The Atlantic, where this post first appeared. Clemons can be followed on Twitter at @SCClemons
Follow Steve Clemons on Twitter: www.twitter.com/SCClemons
Take the most contentious issues involving China today - say the South China Sea.
If we take the Western standard of behavior, where oil producing sovereign territory is involved, the most recent was the defense of the Maldives by the Brits is the gold standard. Warships and men are sent literally half the way around the globe if necessary, nukes were brandished as a possiblity, even as America cheerleads. Yet China had done none of that, instead preferring to stick to the policy of joint development and leaving the ownership issues to later, wiser generations.
Against the backdrop, America chose to stick its big nose in the fray, as a result of which the small neighbors are making ever more aggressive demands, raising the temperature and the rhetoric.
Gates, Clinton and Petraeus have caused the squandering of hundreds of billions of dollars on Afghan quagmire.
2: behavior, conditions, or attitudes that foster stereotypes of social roles based on gender.
FYI: the Huffington Post bans sexist comments and ad hominem attacks on public figures or other commenters.
However, given the US has NOT left, its military/security/oil mission simply moved under State for optical reasons, nor with any indication whatever it intends to leave, I have to ask why Biden's "role" is getting this sort of spin except as some pre-positioning should things fall apart - in which case either Biden takes some "credit" on behalf of a "brilliant" Admin strategy for the above scenario's realization under open-ended US auspices, or the *&%^ should it all go in the tank.
As an aside: what exactly is Obama's strong suit? It's not foreign policy, it's not the economy, it's not energy or environment policy, it's not social programs, and given serial war crimes and ongoing banktserism, it's certainly not as a Constitutional lawyer upholding the Law. So....?
"...splitting up Iraq into Sunni, Shiite, and Kurdish autonomous regions with a split on oil revenue and other obvious joint interests (eg, infrastrucÂture of all descriptioÂn)..."
means if NOT a loose federation?
Paul Haider, Chicago
The transition in Hong Kong worked well enough that it's not clear to me why our China policy can't largely be put on cruise control. Really, show me anyone that was saying then that Hong Kong would still be Hong Kong today,.
We can only hope as well that Mrs. Clinton, widely reported to be very tired, is preparing to retire and the Obama administration is assuring a smooth transition of China policy into a second term without her.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/todd-paglia/keystone-pipeline_b_1151352.html
As recently as last August, reports were that Mrs. Clinton was poised to give quick approval the environmenÂtally threateninÂg but highly profitable pipeline. http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/27/business/energy-environment/us-state-department-to-allow-canadian-pipeline.html?_r=2
In the fall, however, environmenÂtal organizatiÂons revealed a staggering number of Clinton cronies and supporters among TransCanadÂa's lead lobbyists including Paul Elliott, former Deputy Director of Hillary Clinton's 2008 presidentiÂal campaign, and the DLA PIPER lobbying firm, "whose employees and PACs contributeÂd $480,150 to Hillary's campaign, its largest single source of funds from a corporate entity. Pay back time?http://www.huffingtonpost.com/brendan-demelle/hillary-clintons-keystone_b_997523.html
It is good to have Mrs. Clinton out of the loop on Keystone and on China policy now, so the good of our nation can be weighed in the decisions rather than simply what's good for Hillary's donors.
http://www.desmogblog.com/obama-not-hillary-clinton-will-decide-keystone-xl-pipeline-fate
The State Department's Inspector General is looking into the conflicts of interest.
http://www.desmogblog.com/inspector-general-investigate-keystone-xl-conflicts