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Steve Clemons

Steve Clemons

Posted: November 12, 2010 02:25 PM

Hillary Clinton just met with Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and here is the pro forma "read out" of the meeting which the state department distributed:

Prime Minister Netanyahu and Secretary Clinton had a good discussion today, with a friendly and productive exchange of views on both sides. Secretary Clinton reiterated the United States' unshakable commitment to Israel's security and to peace in the region.


The prime minister and the secretary agreed on the importance of continuing direct negotiations to achieve our goals. The secretary reiterated that "the United States believes that through good-faith negotiations, the parties can mutually agree on an outcome which ends the conflict and reconciles the Palestinian goal of an independent and viable state, based on the 1967 lines, with agreed swaps, and the Israeli goal of a Jewish state with secure and recognized borders that reflect subsequent developments and meet Israeli security requirements." Those requirements will be fully taken into account in any future peace agreement.

The discussions between the prime minister and the secretary focused on creating the conditions for the resumption of direct negotiations aimed at producing a two-state solution. Their teams will work closely together in the coming days toward that end.

This kind of statement that appears to say that the US and Israel agreed on some principles about direct negotiations leading to a two state outcome really says almost nothing.

Nonetheless, Israel-Palestine "is" a defining challenge for the Obama administration.

I'm in Abu Dhabi now and have had a number of conversations in less than a day here in which UAE government officials have emphasized that the fastest and most efficacious way to constructively confront Iran's growing power in the region is for the US to pull off a real breakthrough in the Israel/Palestine two state standoff.

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is giving this peace process some of her considerable muscle -- but to be blunt, she has done nothing yet that reflects a change in strategy, personnel, inclusion of negotiating participants, or anything from what was underway before her involvement and earlier failures.

General Anthony Zinni once told me that the real weakness of the state department is that it rarely gamed out scenarios and didn't do what the department of defense did in considering a lot of different strategies that consider various key inputs in a war game simulation. Zinni may be on to something.

DoD scenarios allow virtually every kind of option to be considered. A DoD style scenario exercise would consider various strategies to either put Hamas on a track that would lead to inclusive negotiations or would consider through a cost/benefit calculation how to make the isolation of Hamas less beneficial to their obvious growing power and legitimacy. A DoD scenario would consider the economic, strategic and political factors in trying to either undermine Netanyahu and his government, move closer to it, or provide a mixed approach.

Hillary Clinton would be smart to assemble a group of people with whom she does not agree on Israel/Palestine and engage in some real simulation discussions of alternative tracks to get Israel and Palestine to "yes" on a two-state arrangement. The room should include the folks who have been part of the infrastructure of the past but should also include those who have strong disagreements with the current policy -- and various scenarios should be played out with the Secretary listening and learning.

My sense is that this has not yet happened and needs to. When I heard recently that Andrew Shapiro's policy guidance to Hillary Clinton on Israel/Palestine matters had not changed from what he gave her in the US Senate to what he feeds her today at the state department, it became clear to me that the cocoon Secretary Clinton is on Israel/Palestine issues needs some new inputs.

-- Steve Clemons publishes the popular political blog, The Washington Note. Clemons can be followed on Twitter @SCClemons.

 

Follow Steve Clemons on Twitter: www.twitter.com/SCClemons

Hillary Clinton just met with Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and here is the pro forma "read out" of the meeting which the state department distributed: Prime Minister Netanyahu and Secret...
Hillary Clinton just met with Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and here is the pro forma "read out" of the meeting which the state department distributed: Prime Minister Netanyahu and Secret...
 
 
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05:27 AM on 11/16/2010
For a short time last year, Clinton did take a nonconventional stance on Israel, or to be exact, Israeli settlements (reflecting President Obama’s demand for Israel to halt settlement activity). It actually seemed like the US policy on the Middle East was getting out of the cocoon. But it was short-lived. Then came the total reversal and a continuation of the blatantly pro-Israel approach (despite the US being the only sponsor and mediator of the “peace processâ€). American foreign policy in the Middle East can hardly be justified by America’s strategic interests or political and moral principles, and almost calls for conspiracy theories to explain it.
08:42 PM on 11/13/2010
What happened to Tony the phony Blair the former British PM who was kicked out of office by his own labor party?
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TheRock Barkat
07:58 AM on 11/14/2010
What Muslim would trust that guy who helped kill hundreds of thousands of Muslims or ever look at that man as a Peace broker? Hes hiding out somewhere in Israel where he knows hes protected.
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MamaJoe
Age is a high price to pay for maturity.
07:08 PM on 11/14/2010
Nothing...the puff ball is getting paid handsomely by Americans for lecture tours...Ye Gods! When he tried to promote his book over here (UK) he got egged.
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HelloFunnyWorld
In Times Of Sorry Leadership.... Cry or Manage Up?
08:36 PM on 11/13/2010
Hello Mr.Clemons,

When Life is made up of Time:
On the one hand its mind boggling to think that this problem is older than the President of the United States but still not urgent enough for the civilized world to resolve.

On the other hand the whole World is getting a good education about our Modern Civilization 21st Century style, our Judeo Christian foundations, our wars with Iraq/Afghanistan/involvement in Pakistan, our push for conflict with Iran, together with the incomprehensible disrespect today's Jewish Leadership/Elites show for the Lives & Time of others.

As for Mrs. Clinton: It is said when people show you who they are, one ought to believe them. Anyone remember the Honduras, her support for the Elites there & the coup they staged?
How well has that worked out for those poor people there?
So regrettably, Mrs.C ought to be replaced not just given “new inputsâ€.
Looks very much like she has been co-opted, a long time ago and in favour of one side.
Were we poor Palestinians, we would not want her involved in any negotiations concerning us. How to trust her good faith?
07:51 PM on 11/13/2010
Let's see the DoD "way" has done a wonderful job in Iraq and Afghanistan as of late, not to mention Vietnam. The fact is that none of the above were/are easily solved problems, regardless of how many different "scenarios" were gamed. Neither are Israeli/Palestinian issues which predate, all of the afore mentioned, by centuries. To assume that the current State Dept. hasn't looked at the problem from every possible angle is naive at best, and my guess is that it's plain wrong to assert same or that it's for a lack of trying. One could make a better argument that American interests would be better served by more statecraft and less warcraft, given our recent history. That said, certain problems are very tough to solve. I really hope they crack the code on this one.
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tallen
panem et circenses
01:38 PM on 11/13/2010
"DoD scenarios allow virtually every kind of option to be considered. "

I note that one of the options not mentioned, that certainly should be entertained is to end virtually all aid ( US and international) to the palestinians, as well as begin investigations into their criminally perpetrated targeting of Israeli civilians.
It is something that has not been done and it could very well lead to some movement on the part of the Palestinians to seriously consider peace.

Over the last 10 or 20 years, the only approach has been to apply unilateral pressure on Israel in one form or another.
Quite simply, that has not worked. It's time for a new approach.
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TheRock Barkat
08:03 AM on 11/14/2010
The Palestinians from the period of 1994 to 2009 received about 2.4 billion in aid money. Roughly about 1yrs worth of Military aid to Israel. Ironically most of that money goes towards rebuilding infrastructure that we build and then Israel re-destroys it.

Israel is the largest recipient of aid out of all aided countries and even the largest continents in the world. Why a country in the OECD and one that brags a thriving economy, as well as a thriving tourism business needs American aid is beyond me. Our money would do better aiding Americans or better aiding Africans throughout the continent.
09:24 AM on 11/13/2010
we have in a sense become a Colony of the zionist/israel. the unwavering support no matter
what israel does is disturbing. it reads like a horror story.
govt for the people by the people? i think not.
in this day and age, for this to still be an ongoing issue is beyond words.
international law should be applied to end this madness.
10:12 AM on 11/13/2010
fanned funsdead . . sad, sick, disgusting but so unfortunately true . . most of congress is owned by aipac/israel . . . . American democracy is definitely in the toilet . . . just think how much good the billions sent to israel could do at home for Americans . . but no . . somehow we have to do israel's bidding even if it means starting yet another war . . gotta' figure something is very nightmarish and wrong about this scenario
11:30 AM on 11/13/2010
Other way around

They are our colony
11:45 AM on 11/13/2010
don't think so . . they get our money . . . our politicians get aipac money . . . so that they get our money
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Wozzeck
Pearl Bay, Australia
12:17 PM on 11/13/2010
Colonies take orders from the colonial power. Does the USA have a lobby in Israel to assure that politicians are elected who will follow the orders of the USA? Money flows from colonies to colonial powers. How much money flows from Israel to the USA?
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Rianna
07:57 AM on 11/13/2010
The US has been used, and taken for a good long ride by Israel. When are our leaders going to realize that standing up to Israel will be the best thing for the US. When will the US start acting like we have to do the best for ourselves first, before Israel. This is what Israel does in return to it's "ally".

http://www.haaretz.com/print-edition/opinion/netanyahu-exploited-his-u-s-trip-to-embarrass-obama-1.324266
08:59 AM on 11/13/2010
thank you for the link Rianna . . excellent blog
01:33 PM on 11/13/2010
Fanned and Favorite Thank you for the link it is incredible that a foreigner would have so much power in our country that he would have the nerve to push us into a another war.
06:34 AM on 11/13/2010
hilary is a disaster . . . "When I heard recently that Andrew Shapiro's policy guidance to Hillary Clinton on Israel/Palestine matters had not changed from what he gave her in the US Senate to what he feeds her today at the state department, it became clear to me that the cocoon Secretary Clinton is on Israel/Palestine issues needs some new inputs."

hilary needs much more than some new inputs . . she needs to be replaced and not by another aipac person
BubbaC33
Jimmy Buffett is the greatest American
08:22 AM on 11/13/2010
Ms. CLinton is a very good Secretary of State, those who call for her replacement are lacking in an understanding of her role in the Obama administration.
09:00 AM on 11/13/2010
I am not surprised by your blog at all BubbaC33 .. . it is in line with your standard mantras
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looneydoone
not a "cookie"
02:42 PM on 11/13/2010
Macready
Yes, Madame Secretary is a disaster, on every count
Honduras ? Las year's coup to oust democratically elected Manuel Zelaya in Honduras.as she congratulated coup backed Lobo's election with "it's been an interruption in democracy", as she assured full diplomatic relations with rthe USA would be resumed

Her stance on Venezuela, Colombia, Mexico and other Latin American nations are evidence of her need to be replaced as the US Secretary of State.......as to Israel, that two flag lapel pin she wears so proudly makes clear her sympathies are with the far right Israeli gov't policies.
07:21 AM on 11/16/2010
fanned looney doone and thank you
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TheRock Barkat
06:09 AM on 11/13/2010
Im sure they have a few of those Nukes pointed our way for the Sampson option should they ever feel we betrayed them as well as Muslim Religious centers like Mecca. The only way we are going to get through and over this crap is to send in US troops either willfully aided by IDF or not (More than likely not) and eject the settlers and allow the Palestinians to declare their borders , then help them defend those borders until they are on their feet. Those settlers cannot remain there. They are armed to the teeth and will absolutely begin with violence and then Israel will have a need to interfere.
This is everyones fault for feeling sympathetic towards the Israelis by constantly ignoring UN calls to remove themselves from the OT and they took advantage of everyones sympathy at the cost of the Palestinians. Its not right. Netanyahu laughs at us, Sharon laughed at us, and we are laughing stocks of the world because they all know they laugh at us and take our money to boot.

Who ever heard o having to pay someone off or to offer them an incentive to cease doing something illegal? Never heard of it!
08:18 AM on 11/13/2010
As Americans we can and should hang our heads in shame for what we have allowed the AJC to put us through in o9rder to have an unwavering and unshakable relationship with Israel.
This has been nothing more than a green light these many years for Israel (the great democracy)to do the heinous things it has done in the name of its security, and further to take more Palestinian territory, including East Jerusalem, for keeps. Let's face it, Israel has no intention of giving up one iota of the West Bank, for after all, Gaza was set aside by Sharon to be the Palestinian nation.
09:01 AM on 11/13/2010
"Gaza was set aside by Sharon to be the Palestinian nation" . . in violation of international law . . . .
BubbaC33
Jimmy Buffett is the greatest American
08:24 AM on 11/13/2010
It is constantly amazing to read that the settlements in Judea and Samaria are illegal, the idea that we cannot allow citizens to live there is absurd. The idea that it is illegal is even more absurd.Israel has every right to control Judea and Samaria, those reions are a part of Israel and no nation exists with standing to dispte Israeli ownership.
11:13 AM on 11/13/2010
'The principle of inadmissibility of acquiring territory by force has become part of general international law, endowed with the character of a preemptory rule of international law (jus cogens). It has been confirmed in such instruments as, inter alia, the Friendly Relations Declaration of the General Assembly (GA) in 1970 and reaffirmed in a series of Security Council (SC) resolutions concerned with specific cases, including Resolution 242….’
International Law: A Dictionary, Boleslaw Boczek, p. 214.

The territory is occupied. It doesn't belong to Israel. Under the Fourth Geneva Convention, it is illegal to transfer part of your population into occupied territory. This may not conform to what makes you feel all warm and fuzzy inside. It remains the reality.
03:01 PM on 11/13/2010
Bubba You are amazed that Palestinians who have lived on their land or hundreds of generations now should be disposest by a bunch of people from Brooklyn.
Bigotry is as bigotry does.
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Richard Pearce
Atheistic-agnostic Canadian polymath
02:09 AM on 11/13/2010
Though an interesting idea (and in some ways, something that should be done), there are two big issues that will prevent it from being adopted.
 
The first is perception.  Hearing that the US army has gamed out an attack on Israel, everyone understands that it is just them keeping their people in practice, and following a policy of having a plan for attacking everyone, so that their plans for attacking those who they might be asked to attack, who it would be politically sensitive to single out, can't be pointed to as evidence that they are in fact being singled out.  Hearing that the US State Department has gamed out a scenario where the US throw's it support behind a peace deal that includes right of return for the refugees, a Palestinian capital in Jerusalem, Israel having to settle for no more than its fair share of water, a Palestinian army that could have air defence systems that would make it impossible for the IAF to overfly Palestine, a secure, defendable route between the West Bank and Gaza would not be seen the same way.
 
The second is practibility.  The US army can put put its scenarios into action without having to worry too much about political interference.  The State Department has to take political interference into consideration on everything it does.
02:40 PM on 11/13/2010
Richard this would bring peace and stop the suicidal expansion.
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fairwayhill
1948 Palestine belongs to the Palestinians
01:08 AM on 11/13/2010
Hamas is right. This so called "peace process" is a hoax.
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Saint Poopypants
06:23 AM on 11/13/2010
Hamas doesn't want to be involved in the process, so what they have to say is immaterial.
Too bad that Abbas is too meek a leader to negotiate with Bibi on his own.
He needs lots of help it appears - if not from other Arab nations
But from the hated US as well.
Doesn't look good from where I'm standing...
BubbaC33
Jimmy Buffett is the greatest American
08:25 AM on 11/13/2010
Ayone who believe anything Hamas has to say is intellectually disqualified from a discussion of the region.
Michael II
Neither the one, nor the only
10:25 AM on 11/13/2010
Yet they remain the elephant in the living room, the big blob everyone tries to ignore. And ignoring them has made things worse in five years.
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fairwayhill
1948 Palestine belongs to the Palestinians
01:05 AM on 11/13/2010
Hillary Clinton is giving this peace process NONE of her considerable muscle.
09:02 AM on 11/13/2010
does hilary have muscle . . me thinks she just has aipac connections
BubbaC33
Jimmy Buffett is the greatest American
12:35 PM on 11/13/2010
I checked with Ms. Clinton and with AIPAC and neither one cares what you think. But have a very nice day.
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Freenation
12:08 AM on 11/13/2010
the problem with this whole peace process is 'conflict of interest', people who are close to aipac should be shown the door, same is applicable to palestinian skewed ones (but there aren't any!!!) so we are left with one big elephant which needs to be shown a bigger pasture where it can feed on...
12:11 AM on 11/16/2010
Want a laugh? Imagine if Hillsy was getting advice from her Arab-American advisor!
So funny, it's absurd.
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NTT
Fighting rants with facts
08:14 PM on 11/12/2010
Considerably more experienced than her boss, Mrs. Clinton understands the gaffes Obama made. In his terrible naivety, he has allowed himself to be outmaneuvered by a third tier politician called Mahmoud Abbas.

Smelling weakness, Abbas presented Obama with the "settlement freeze" precondition. Otherwise, said the ex-PLO terrorist & Holocaust denier, we won't negotiate. Eager to be "liked" by the Arabs, Obama acceded. Judgment error #1. Then, focused entirely on extracting that unreciprocated concession from Netanyahu, Obama forgot to ask Abbas "what happens if I obtain that freeze"? Judgment error #2. Once Netanyahu caved to pressure & accepted the 10-month moratorium, Abbas showed Obama the middle finger & still did not negotiate. Not remembering "fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice, shame on me", Obama continued to beg & cajole him. Strike #3. Abbas held fast for 9 out of 10 months of moratorium, then "reluctantly" let himself be "persuaded" to please negotiate; knowing very well that in a months' time he'd have a wonderful opportunity to bail out of talks having made no concession & with the "bonus" of blaming Israel for the failure. That done, he ran to share his victory with his fellow Arab League dictators. This bunch of despots with some of the worst human rights records in the world gave America an ultimatum: sort it out in 1 (one) month – or else! They must've laughed their heads off when they did it. Never before did America look so weak & so inept.
Tony Andrews
Ὁ βίος βÏαχÏÏ‚, ἡ δὲ τέχνÎ
09:11 AM on 11/13/2010
The Palestinians wanted a freeze.

Your whole argument is based on the fallacy that there was such a freeze.

There has not been any freeze. (Look the word up in any halfway reliable dictionary).

Your argument is, as a consequnece, as fallacious as the freeze upon which it depends.
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StCuthbert
Anytime the mods are ready...
10:43 AM on 11/13/2010
So why did they talk, and then stop talking, based on the end of the freeze?
Tony Andrews
Ὁ βίος βÏαχÏÏ‚, ἡ δὲ τέχνÎ
11:45 AM on 11/13/2010
NTT refers to pressure on Netanyahu bringing about the freeze that never actually happened being the cause of that freeze that never happened.

You think Obama did not spend months applying pressure to Abbas?

You think Abbas should have kept on talking despite that there was no freeze and that the Israelis chose to accelerate their construction projects in the West Bank and East Jerusalem?

By that token, you must surely agree that Netanyahu should engage with Hamas despite the damned rockets.
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gingershot
One man, one vote, from the river to the sea
05:45 PM on 11/12/2010
Great article - it's so refreshing to hear workable ideas rather than the same old Israel Lobby-suffocated playbook that ensures absolutely nothing other than an unconditional Israeli victory over a prostrate Palestine will ever result

Israel has freshly proven -by it's series of blatantly disingenuous moves over just the last few months - that it's still no more interested in the peace process than it has ever been. The Israeli game is the same as it's been for decades - making it's ethnic cleansing already gained completely irreversible

Hillary herself is essentially a Neocon and is full-on with the Israeli/Neocon agenda of attacking Iran for Israel and everything else the Israelis want.

Israel and her Israel Lobby in the US have been making fools out of US foreign policy for years now - the Israel Lobby can't really make anymore of a fool out of Hillary because Hillary is already sold out and on their side - she's one of 'em and really functioning as a member of the Israel Lobby at this point - even to the right of the Neocon McCain

Netanyahu, along with his Neocons, have been destroying Obama's presidency and these failed negotiations are all part of that.

The Palestinians need to dump this fraudulent peace process, dump Hillary Clinton, cut America out of their destiny, and proceed with unilateral steps.

America could reengage positively by leading UN sanctions over EJ - which would have the salutary side benefit of destroying Bibi and his fascist coalition
10:19 PM on 11/13/2010
Yes, they know how to maneuver verbally to mold ideas for people. They know the psychology of getting people on a bandwagon. Look at the last couple of years of all the stories and vile crap they've put out against the President to unravel his power in this last election and unseat him in 2012, and all for Israel. The AIPACers have got it, and they are so desperate for a desperate Israel under Netanyahu. They are going to stop at nothing. Obama will not see the light of day should the Palestinians go unilateral and declare themselves a state within the land set aside for them by the UN; Obama will not be able to be the first to recognize the state of Palestine. Entebbe and all of the great Mossad operations of the past will pale in contrast to what they will do to Obama. Mossad agents are in the Washington already and they are ready for the go word from Bibi Netanyahu!