An election is one of the few subjects pundits opine on en masse for which there is an unambiguous outcome. Will we remember their accuracy the next time they express a fervent opinion on a subject for which there will be no definitive answer?
Political historian Rick Perlstein, author of Nixonland and writer for Rolling Stone, The Nation and other publications, stopped by The Interview Show to give host Mark Bazer his take on the GOP, Barack Obama and the 2012 election.
Mitt Romney will string together a winning coalition with victories in states ranging from Virginia to Colorado, capturing the popular vote by nearly two points and a sizeable majority of electoral votes, making him the 45th President of the United States.
With the U.S. presidential election only days away, I thought it would be fun for my first blog to share some of my predictions about the big day. I practice Vedic astrology, which originated in India over 5,000 years ago and is the world's oldest form of astrology.
Here's my new favorite fact: whoever is leading two weeks after the last convention has never relinquished the lead in the last 15 presidential elections. It's way past two weeks since the last convention and President Obama doesn't have a small lead, he has a huge lead.
Once every four years, the Summer Olympics distort the news ratings. This year, it was worse than usual because MSNBC, programmed by NBC, carried a lot of Olympic events, sometimes in primetime, sometimes in daytime.
The Obama-Romney margin at the national level, 1.3 percentage points as of today, is right at the edge of conventional levels of statistical significance; the probability that Obama leads Romney in national level voting intentions is about 80 percent.
Amidst all the fuss about Obama's sagging poll numbers and "who's up and who's down" in the Republican presidential primary contest, professor Allan Lichtman has issued his "sure fire" prediction for the outcome of the 2012 election.
I've been able to get last week's cable viewing numbers in time to include last week's results. FoxNews viewing was up sharply in all categories during the week of 10/25 to 10/31. Here are the numbers.
In every election of the past decade I have predicted the results based on Nielsen's cable news viewing numbers. So far, I have always gotten it right. And, if that happens again next Tuesday, the Democrats are in for a disaster.