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Fed

What Is Causing the Drag?

Michael Farr | Posted 11.21.2014 | Business
Michael Farr

Using inflation-adjusted numbers, we indexed each component of GDP to 4Q07 levels, beginning with a value of 100 for each. We graphically display the results below, followed by some commentary.

Secret Tapes Suggest Regulators At JPMorgan Were Blocked From Doing Their Jobs

ProPublica | Jake Bernstein | Posted 11.17.2014 | Business

This story originally appeared on ProPublica: As the Federal Reserve Bank of New York moved to beef up its oversight of Wall Street two years ago, ...

Deleveraging Has Not Yet Run Its Course

Michael Farr | Posted 11.06.2014 | Business
Michael Farr

I've argued for some time that the process of deleveraging has yet to run its course. The aggregate level of debt in our economy currently stands at a record high, even though many pundits continue to say that debt levels are much more manageable now as compared to the pre-crisis days.

What Oil Is Telling You

Michael Farr | Posted 10.31.2014 | Business
Michael Farr

The drop in oil (and corresponding drop in energy stocks) is causing much consternation throughout the investment world because it is inconsistent with the narrative articulated by most economists.

Nikkei Soars As Bank Of Japan Announces Unexpected Stimulus Measures

AP | ELAINE KURTENBACH | Posted 10.31.2014 | Business

TOKYO (AP) — Japan's central bank surprised the financial world and pleased investors Friday by intensifying its purchases of government bonds and o...

Fed Ends Stimulus Program With Economy Still On Shaky Ground

The Huffington Post | Mark Gongloff | Posted 11.05.2014 | Business

Janet Yellen and the Federal Reserve just declared the U.S. economy well enough to leave intensive care, though it is not yet the picture of health. ...

Zach Carter

How The Fed Blew Its Most Important Job For Over Three Years

HuffingtonPost.com | Zach Carter | Posted 10.22.2014 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- The Federal Reserve was aware of risky practices at JPMorgan Chase as early as 2008 but failed to follow up for more than three years un...

Should You Sell???

Michael Farr | Posted 10.17.2014 | Business
Michael Farr

The growth of the American and global economies are the underlying drivers for most all equity investments. A clear discipline, dogged research, and dispassionate assessment are an investor's best friends.

The Buyback Binge

Michael Farr | Posted 10.02.2014 | Business
Michael Farr

Remember, markets go down from time to time, and it's normal. Cool heads and steady hands make money over time.

Is The Federal Reserve Printing A Free Lunch?

Terry Burnham, Ph.D. | Posted 11.17.2014 | Business
Terry Burnham, Ph.D.

I continue to believe that this grand Keynesian experiment will end in tears. Furthermore, when it ends badly, future generations will not be able to believe our stupidity.

Another Flash Crash or Market Shutdown?

Michael Farr | Posted 11.11.2014 | Business
Michael Farr

Technology seems to have solved the trade execution issue, so I don't foresee an overwhelming market shutdown. Fidelity now offers an amazing 1 second trade confirmation guarantee.

Loan Me $250,000. Please!

Michael Farr | Posted 11.04.2014 | Money
Michael Farr

I want to buy a house. Would you be willing to loan me $250,000 for 30 years at 4.25 percent? Your answer is crucially important. Before you answer, keep in mind that you will be taxed on the interest you receive.

The Top 3 Percent Of Americans Now Hold 54 Percent Of The Country's Wealth

Reuters | Posted 11.04.2014 | Business

Sept 4 (Reuters) - The gap between the richest Americans and the rest of the nation widened after the Great Recession, a survey by the Federal Reser...

Margins Remain Suspicious

Michael Farr | Posted 10.22.2014 | Business
Michael Farr

So what are the causes for optimism with regard to future earnings power? Well, the most notable are probably the recent sharp decreases in interest rates and gas prices.

Shahien Nasiripour

The Federal Reserve Is Telling Us The Economy Is Pitiful

HuffingtonPost.com | Shahien Nasiripour | Posted 08.07.2014 | Politics

Fewer than one-third of Americans report being better off financially than they were five years ago, with weak household savings and hefty debt burden...

Enough Fed! Give Free Markets a Chance!

Michael Farr | Posted 09.24.2014 | Business
Michael Farr

The widespread expansion of credit to car-buyers, especially to sub-prime borrowers, is beginning to cause some industry observers to cry "bubble." Is this economic progress?

More of the Same

Michael Farr | Posted 08.18.2014 | Business
Michael Farr

As expected, the Federal Reserve stuck to its pattern of reducing asset purchases by another $10 billion. The monthly pace is now down to just $35 bi...

What's Going on With Interest Rates?

Michael Farr | Posted 07.29.2014 | Business
Michael Farr

An aggressive rally in the Treasury market this morning has resulted in the lowest 10-year Treasury yield since June of last year.  Nearly everyone is looking for an explanation as to why longer-term interest rates continue to fall in the face of reduced Fed support and better economic data.  So what is going on?

Tracking Earnings

Michael Farr | Posted 07.19.2014 | Business
Michael Farr

While the overall quality and composition of earnings in the 1Q may have improved somewhat, index earnings growth remains highly dependent on margin expansion.

Mark Gongloff

Reason No. 567,397 The Market Is Rigged

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Gongloff | Posted 05.15.2014 | Business

For at least the past 16 years, stock market traders have apparently been profiting from sneak peeks at the most important monetary policy decisions i...

Fed Chair Not Sure Whether To Call U.S. An Oligarchy Or Democracy

The Huffington Post | Igor Bobic | Posted 05.09.2014 | Politics

Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen said Wednesday that she doesn't know whether the U.S. political system is a democracy or an oligarchy, as a recent ...

Economists Are Wrong

Michael Farr | Posted 07.07.2014 | Business
Michael Farr

To boil things down, there are really only two roads we can follow in an environment of such as this. The economy will either muddle along at a sub-par rate of about 2 percent until balance is restored, or we go down the path of running up debt in an effort to produce higher growth rates in the near term.

Fed Isn't Too Worried About Weak Economic Growth, Will Cut Stimulus Further

Reuters | By Howard Schneider and Michael Flaherty | Posted 04.30.2014 | Business

WASHINGTON, April 30 (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve on Wednesday looked past a dismal reading on first quarter U.S. economic growth and announced a c...

Market Noise and Fed Messaging

Michael Farr | Posted 06.16.2014 | Business
Michael Farr

So far this year, the mid-cap banks are outperforming their behemoth cousins, and we now may know why. The big question, though, is how detrimental have these new regulations been to the economic recovery?

"FedUp" Activists Identify the Source of Economic Pain -- The Federal Reserve

Jerry Ashton | Posted 05.28.2014 | Politics
Jerry Ashton

For the first time since the '30s, the 99 percent stood up and pointed out the real culprits -- Wall Street and the politicians they own. People listened, they heard, and began to believe.