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National Journal

This Week in Magazines: What's at Stake in the Election, Atlantic's Redesign and The New Yorker's Brainiacs

James Warren | Posted 05.25.2011 | Media
James Warren

What's really at stake in Tuesday's election? Many usual suspects are opining in the cable universe, so for a cerebral alternative there's "A Fateful Election" in the Nov. 6 New York Review of Books.

NJ Column: Pollster Performance

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My NationalJournal.com column for the week, looking back on how the pollsters did, is now posted online.  We will have much more on pollster perf...

Hidden McCain Vote?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My NationalJournal.com column, which looks at specualtion over the Bradley Effect and whether the undecided vote will "break" to McCain from a differe...

The Evidence on Cell Phone Only Voters

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My NationalJournal.com column for the week looks at what we know about whether the rise in cell-phone only households is causing any skew in polling r...

Polling's Perfect Storm

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My NationalJournal.com column this week reviews the three big sources of worry among pollsters and others about the accuracy of polling this fall: the...

Weighting by Party...and the CBS/New York Times Poll

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My NationalJournal.com column for the week on the continuing debate over party identification, how pollsters measure it and what they should do when t...

Internals of the McCain-Palin Bump

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My NationalJournal.com column, on the "internals" of the McCain-Palin post-convention bounce, is now online. In the column, I quote from a conversatio...

Scoring the Veepstakes

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Interrupting my "vacation" for this special announcement: My NationalJournal.com column, on the potential for a running-mate "bump" and whether we wi...

The Many Flavors of the Favorable Rating

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

As I was laboring over last week's column, I received a one-line e-mail from a respected journalist: "Can you please rail against the NYT for their 'n...

Ready To Be Chief?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My NationalJournal.com column, on perceptions of Barack Obama's experience and readiness to be president and their importance to the outcome of the ra...

Measuring Nader and Barr

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My Nationaljournal.com column, on the challenge posed to pollsters by third party candidates like Ralph Nader and Bob Barr, is now online. The topic i...

On Trackers

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My Nationaljournal.com column, on the differences between rolling-average tracking polls and other "traditional" surveys, is now online. Regular reade...

Party ID Wars 2008

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My NationalJournal.com column, on the debate about the new LA Times Bloomberg poll and its composition in terms of party identification, is now posted...

Radio Daze "Outliers"

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Carl Bialik reveals the mysterious methodology of America's most familiar poll. Kathy Frankovic asks...what's the right age for a President? Frank New...

Why Look at National Polls?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My NationalJournal.com column, on the utility of national polls now that our attention is turning to the state-by-state electoral college battle, is n...

The Stronger Democrat?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My NationalJournal.com column for the week, on the limitations of what national and state level polls can tell us about which candidate is strongest, ...

How Barack Obama Can Frame His "Liberal" Label

Stephen Ducat | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Stephen Ducat

Obama needs to hew to what has been a largely successful strategy of branding himself as the candidate who transcends labels and shrink-wrapped ideologies.

Age or Education?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Amidst the personal craziness last week, I neglected to link to two columns from network pollsters that provide some valuable data from the exit polls...

"Some Numerical Metric"

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My NationalJournal.com column, a follow-up on the ongoing debate over counting the "popular vote" in the Democratic primary contest, is now online. In...

Live Blogging Pennsylvania Exit Polls and Vote Returns

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

I will be live-blogging here starting very soon on what the exit polls will have to tell us about the exit polls. More details to follow, but please f...

Pennsylvania Wrap Up

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

We have been busy here over the last day or two, including links to 8 new polls that interviewed through Sunday night, so I am going to try use this p...

Pennsylvania's Undecided Voters

Charles Franklin | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Charles Franklin

Senator Clinton currently holds a 6 point lead over Senator Obama in Pennsylvania, based on our Pollster Trend Estimate, 49%-43%. But that leaves ab...

The Demographic Composition of the PA Polls

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Just before the March 4 primaries, I did posts on the demographic compositions of the polls from both Texas and Ohio. With the ever valuable Eric Dien...

Jason Linkins

Flawed Study Ranks Obama As "Most Liberal"

HuffingtonPost.com | Jason Linkins | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

What does it all mean? Not much more than the National Journal finding "liberals" to be scary! The whole endeavor is a twisted skein of fuzzy math and ever shifting standards.

The North Carolina Polling Roller Coaster

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My NationalJournal.com column, on those wildly variant automated polls in North Carolina from Public Policy Polling (PPP), is now online. A few additi...