Pollster Analysis

New Wisconsin Poll Gives Edge To Scott Walker

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.30.2012

Read More: Wisconsin Recall Election, Video, Scott Walker Recall Election, Scott Walker Recall, Wisconsin Recall Polls, Pollster Analysis, Wisconsin Recall, Wisconsin Polls, Scott Walker, Elections 2012, Tom Barrett, Politics News

WASHINGTON -- The latest independent poll in Wisconsin shows Republican Gov. Scott Walker maintaining his lead over his Democratic challenger, Milwauk...

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Election Monitor: Romney Decides the Best Defense Is a Good Offense

Steve Lombardo | Posted 05.29.2012

Read More: Mitt Romney, Elections 2012, Election Monitor, Barack Obama, Pollster Analysis, Mitt Romney Polls, Obama Romney Polls, Obama-Romney-Polls, Obama Romney, Politics News

One thing is certain thus far in the election cycle: we have two well-armed and savvy political teams that are unlikely to let any shot from the opposition go without response.

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Obama Has Edge Over Romney With 'Microtargeting' Vital Voters

AP | BETH FOUHY | Posted 05.28.2012

Read More: Video, Pollster Analysis, Polling, 2012 Election, Mitt Romney 2012, President Obama, Elections 2012, Mitt Romney, Online Voter Data, Obama, Barack Obama 2012, Pollster, Politics News

NEW YORK -- Voters who click on President Barack Obama's campaign website are likely to start seeing display ads promoting his re-election bid on thei...

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Random Dancing 'Outliers'

Posted 05.25.2012

Read More: Video, Pollster Analysis, Politics News

John Sides considers polls showing a substantial increase in support for gay marriage. Alan Abramowitz examines Obama's approval rating and sees a...

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Warren And Brown Neck And Neck In New Poll

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.24.2012

Read More: Scott Brown, Elizabeth Warren, Politics News, Scott Brown 2012, Video, Pollster Analysis, Scott Brown Elizabeth Warren Poll, 2012 Election, Elections 2012, Scott Brown Elizabeth Warren, Elizabeth Warren 2012, Massachusetts Senate Race, Politics News

WASHINGTON -- Sen. Scott Brown and his Democratic challenger are nearly tied in the race for a Massachusetts Senate seat, according to a poll released...

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Surprising Poll: Could Tennessee Be A Toss-up?

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.22.2012

Read More: John Geer, North Dakota Polls, Heidi Heitkamp, Mitt Romney Polls, Pollster Analysis, Mitt Romney 2012, Tennessee Polls, Barack Obama Polls, Elections 2012, Mitt Romney, Barack Obama 2012, North Dakota Senate Race, Barack Obama, Politics News

WASHINGTON -- Is the presidential race between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney shaping up as a "virtual tie" in Tennessee? Is the likely Republican nomin...

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Mother's Day Is Over, and Many Moms Still Struggling

Margie Omero | Posted 05.21.2012

Read More: Walmart, Women, Pollster Analysis, 2012 Election, Working Mothers, Moms, Election 2012, Gallup, Stay at Home Mothers, Mothers, Politics News

New Gallup polling suggests the joys of motherhood can bring added challenges. The most striking finding is how much stay-at-home moms in particular suffer.

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Fox News Does Not Make You Dumb: Researchers Respond to Critics

Peter J. Woolley | Posted 05.15.2012

Read More: Msnbc, Peter J Woolley, Jon Stewart, Egypt Public Opinion, Npr, Fox News, Media Criticism, Fairleigh Dickinson University, Media, Dan Cassino, News Aggregator, Egypt Protests 2011, Public Opinion Polling, Publicmind, Pollster Analysis, Media News

NPR and Jon Stewart's Daily Show came out on top as the most informative, making the schadenfreude all the more delicious for Fox-haters, and the twisting of the liberal knife-in-the-back all the more painful for Fox fans. But how did it come to that?

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Marriage Equality: Can Polling Tell Us What It Means for Obama?

Margie Omero | Posted 05.16.2012

Read More: 2012 Elections, Pollster Analysis, Polling, 2012 Election, Pew Research Center, Obama Gay Marriage, Cbs, Gallup, Election 2012, Gay Marriage, Barack Obama, Pollster, Same-Sex Marriage, Politics News

Obama's support is already in the single digits with Republicans. How much less likely to vote for him can Republicans be?

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How Low Can They Go? Report Checks Falling Poll Response Rates

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.15.2012

Read More: Elections 2012, Polls, Poll Response Rates, Video, Pollster Analysis, Response Rates, Pew Research Center, Politics News

WASHINGTON -- How low can they go? A new study from the Pew Research Center released on Tuesday finds that poll response rates continue to fall "drama...

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Election Monitor: Obama Campaign Sets Out to Define Romney

Steve Lombardo | Posted 05.15.2012

Read More: Mitt Romney, Election Monitor, Election 2012, Barack Obama, Obama Attack Ads, Romney 2012, Obama 2012, Pollster, Election Polls, Pollster Analysis, Politics News

In the last 10 days, team Obama has gone on the offensive, using a two-pronged issue strategy: one economic, and one social, that for about 48 hours put the Romney campaign on its heels.

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Salacious Surveys 'Outliers'

Posted 05.11.2012

Read More: Video, Pollster Analysis, Politics News

The American Political Science Association responds to the effort by Rep. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.) to defund political science;Seth Masket, John Sides, Ma...

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Same-Sex Marriage Polls: The Trend Is Clear

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.09.2012

Read More: Gay Marriage Polls, Pollster Analysis, Barack Obama Polls, Same Sex Marriage, Elections 2012, Same Sex Marriage Polls, Barack Obama 2012, Barack Obama, Gay Marriage, Barack Obama Gay Marriage, Barack Obama Same Sex Marriage, Politics News

WASHINGTON -- Two years ago, President Barack Obama was not quite ready to say, as he did Wednesday, that he supports same sex marriage, but he conced...

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HuffPost Pollster Charts: Giving Daily Trackers Less Weight

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.08.2012

Read More: Polls, Video, Mitt Romney Polls, Pollster Analysis, Mitt Romney 2012, Barack Obama Polls, Mitt Romney, Elections 2012, Barack Obama 2012, Barack Obama, Polling Charts, Politics News

WASHINGTON -- HuffPost Pollster is pleased to announce a small but significant change to our polling charts that should greatly reduce the tendency of...

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Is Minority Voter Registration Really Declining?

Michael P. McDonald | Posted 05.07.2012

Read More: 2004 Election, The Washington Post, 2006 Election, Minority Voting, Curren Population Survey, Voter Registration, 2010 Election, 2008 Election, Voter Turnout, Minority Voter Registration, Minority Voters, Pollster Analysis, Politics News

To understand my contention that The Washington Post's analysis is flawed, I must explain how the voting and registration questions are asked.

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May The Fourth Be With You 'Outliers'

Posted 05.04.2012

Read More: Video, Pollster Analysis, Politics News

John Sides asks if Obama is more popular than he should be. The Washington Post reports Romney "faces a narrow path" to an Elecotral College vict...

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Swing State Polls A Reminder Of 2008

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.04.2012

Read More: Video, Mitt Romney Polls, Pollster Analysis, Mitt Romney 2012, Swing State Polls, Barack Obama Polls, Elections 2012, Mitt Romney, Barack Obama 2012, Barack Obama, Politics News

WASHINGTON -- New polls released Thursday by Quinnipiac University showed President Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney by such narrow margins in Ohio an...

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The Winner of the Opportunity vs. Fairness Debate Is...

Sheri and Allan Rivlin | Posted 05.03.2012

Read More: Pollster Analysis, Thrid Way, Populist, 2012 Election, Economy, Progressives, Obama, Opportunity, Mike Lux, Swing Voters, Fairness, Romney, Politics News

The important take away here is that this is a false choice. The NBC News /Wall Street Journal survey makes it clear that the strongest Democratic message links fairness, and middle class opportunity.

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HuffPost Pollster Is Hiring

Posted 05.02.2012

Read More: Pollster Analysis, Politics News

HuffPost Pollster is expanding! We're looking for an Associate Polling Editor to assist in the ongoing publication of polling charts and poll updates....

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A Different Kind of Mommy War

Margie Omero | Posted 05.01.2012

Read More: Abortion, Women, Women's Rights, Women's Issues, Mommy Wars, Elections 2012, Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, Politics, War on Women, 2012 Election, Hilary Rosen Ann Romney, Women and Politics, Birth Control, Moms, Pollster Analysis, Politics News

Of our 29 mom participants, only one participant brought up the "War on Women," and nobody mentioned any of the recent media skirmishes on women's issues.

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Pie Charts 'Outliers'

Posted 04.30.2012

Read More: Video, Pollster Analysis, Politics News

Ezra Klein creates an election forecast model (with help from Seth Hill, John Sides and Lynn Vavreck). Jay Cost finds Klein's model "particularly...

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"Controlling" the Gun Debate: An Open Letter to All Pollsters

Margie Omero | Posted 04.27.2012

Read More: Gun Violence, Politics, Pollster Analysis, Mayors Against Illegal Guns, Polling, Pew Research Center, Gallup, Guns, Illegal Guns, Gun Safety, Pollster, Politics News

By not revisiting their question language, polling outlets are actually influencing the debate by suggesting there is less support for stronger gun laws than actually exists.

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Introducing The HuffPost Election Map

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 04.25.2012

Read More: Video, Mitt Romney Polls, Pollster Analysis, 2012 Presidential Election, Mitt Romney 2012, Barack Obama Polls, Mitt Romney, Elections 2012, Election Map, Electoral College, Polling Map, Barack Obama 2012, Barack Obama, Politics News

WASHINGTON -- As attention turns from the Republican primaries to the general election for president, The Huffington Post debuts a new, interactive po...

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New Poll Shows Young Voter Shift

AP | By PHILIP ELLIOTT | Posted 04.25.2012

Read More: Young Voters, Video, Pollster Analysis, Mitt Romney Young Voters, Mitt Romney 2012, Obama Young Voters, Elections 2012, Mitt Romney, Obama, Barack Obama 2012, Pollster, Politics News

WASHINGTON -- Once thought to be solidly behind President Barack Obama, younger voters burdened by a bleak employment picture, high gas prices and stu...

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Election Monitor: 197 Days to Go and the Trend Is Toward Romney

Steve Lombardo | Posted 04.23.2012

Read More: Mitt Romney, Elections 2012, Barack Obama, Pollster Analysis, Politics News

At this point we are too far out to project, but the trend is in Romney's favor and he has had this momentum for 6 weeks.

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