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Pollster Analysis

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Recession Leaves Americans Pessimistic About Jobs | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 08.28.2014 | Politics

Americans are deeply pessimistic about the state of the economy. A Republican poll is deeply pessimistic about the GOP's outreach toward women. And op...

Breaking: GOP Has a Woman Problem! But Does It Matter?

Margie Omero | Posted 08.28.2014 | Politics
Margie Omero

Here's a tough question for the left: Can Republicans still be successful even as they continue to alienate a majority of the electorate? In midterms, the answer is undoubtedly yes.

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Polls Show Close Races In Iowa, Wisconsin | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 08.27.2014 | Politics

Two new polls confirm highly competitive races for governor in Wisconsin and U.S. Senate in Iowa. Republicans say they are paying more attention to th...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Republicans Increasingly Optimistic About Midterm Chances | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 08.26.2014 | Politics

Republicans are increasingly optimistic about the midterms, but not as much as they were in 2010. The electoral landscape continues to look pretty muc...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Does Hating Congress Lead To Higher Turnout? | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 08.25.2014 | Politics

Gallup finds that turnout correlates with congressional approval, based on just six elections. Daily Kos launches another poll based Senate forecast. ...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Stop Freaking Out Over The Results Of One Poll | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 08.23.2014 | Politics

A new poll shows a distinctly different picture of the New Hampshire Senate race than other surveys. Reactions to the shooting and protests in Ferguso...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Reviewing The Polls On Ferguson, The Police And Racial Tensions | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 08.21.2014 | Politics

National polls shed light on the broader issues raised by the Ferguson, Missouri police shooting. Fewer Americans are naming the economy as the most i...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: North Carolina's Senate Race Remains Competitive | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 08.20.2014 | Politics

The North Carolina Senate race is close. Gallup finds a racial gap in views of the police. And four political scientists argue that presidential poll ...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Will The Polls Get It Right In Alaska? | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 08.19.2014 | Politics

Alaska holds this year's last competitive GOP primary. Will the polls accurately forecast the winner? And USA Today teams with Suffolk University to c...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Polling Shows Support For Iraq Air Strikes | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 08.18.2014 | Politics

Another national poll finds support for the airstrikes in Iraq. Two new surveys find a big racial gap in perceptions of events in Ferguson, Mo. And Na...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Recent Surveys Don't Agree On Midterm Outlook | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 08.15.2014 | Politics

If the election were today, some U.S. House generic ballot estimates would be very wrong. African-Americans feel their relationship with the police ha...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Plurality Of Americans Believe Cops Use Lethal Force Too Frequently | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 08.14.2014 | Politics

Initial reaction to the Ferguson Missouri shooting divides along partisan and racial lines. All southern state migration trends are not created equal....

Mark Blumenthal

HUFPOLLSTER: Introducing Pollster's New Homepage | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 08.13.2014 | Politics

Pollster has a new home page. The Fox News poll finds support for the air strikes in Iraq. And we have a handy way to summarize the latest "SHOCK POLL...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: New Survey Finds Obama Hurting Democrats' Midterm Chances | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 08.12.2014 | Politics

A new national poll gives Republicans the edge on the generic House vote. Most Americans support the authorization of air strikes in Iraq. And apparen...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: How Good Polling Is Like LeBron James | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 08.11.2014 | Politics

FiveThirtyEight finds some pollsters may be piggybacking off others' results. A Republican pollster argues that the "enthusiasm gap" is overstated. An...

Ariel Edwards-Levy

HUFFPOLLSTER: Forty Years After Nixon Resignation, Trust In Government Remains Low | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 08.12.2014 | Politics

Memories of Watergate are fading among younger generations. Memories of the Iraq War may remain fresh as Americans assess further action. And opinions...

Ariel Edwards-Levy

HUFFPOLLSTER: Reviewing The Tennessee Senate Primary Polls | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 08.07.2014 | Politics

It's Tennessee voters' turn at the ballot box. Yet another poll finds less-than-glowing ratings for the political establishment. And while Americans l...

Ariel Edwards-Levy

HUFFPOLLSTER: The State Of The Union Is 'Cranky' | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 08.07.2014 | Politics

Two new surveys highlight Americans' widespread discontent. Chris Christie's home state reputation remains tarnished. And a GOP incumbent survives in ...

Ariel Edwards-Levy

HUFFPOLLSTER: Polls Find Pat Roberts Likely To Stave Off Primary Challenge | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 08.05.2014 | Politics

Voters are headed to the polls in four more states. The uninsured rate is falling in states that welcomed the ACA. And America's hatred of Congress is...

Ariel Edwards-Levy

HUFFPOLLSTER: Two Hawaii Senate Polls, Two Conflicting Results | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 08.04.2014 | Politics

With less than a week until Hawaii's Saturday primary, two surveys present markedly different outlooks. Americans take a dim view of both Congress' ac...

Modern Polling Requires Both Sampling and Adjustment

David Rothschild | Posted 08.04.2014 | Politics
David Rothschild

The American Association of Public Opinion Research is a justly well-respected organization whose publications and conferences are an important means ...

Ariel Edwards-Levy

HUFFPOLLSTER: Survey Finds Rise In Negativity Toward Health Law | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 08.01.2014 | Politics

Negative opinions of the health care law are up in a new poll. Views of the Iraq and Afghanistan wars are as bad as ever. And online polling continues...

What Women Think They Know About Gun Laws (And How They're Wrong)

Margie Omero | Posted 08.01.2014 | Politics
Margie Omero

In the last decade, more women were killed by an intimate partner using a gun than troops killed in action in Iraq and Afghanistan combined. Come November, women across party lines may reward candidates working to solve problems, rather than leaning on partisan perceptions.

Ariel Edwards-Levy

HUFFPOLLSTER: Most Conservatives No Longer See Supreme Court As Liberal | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 07.31.2014 | Politics

Liberals increasingly think the Supreme Court is conservative. Tea party supporters have largely positive views of possible 2016 GOP nominees for pres...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Obama Gets Low Ratings On Israel/Gaza | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 07.30.2014 | Politics

Another crisis in the Middle East adds to President Obama's job approval woes. Arkansas provides a case study for the difficulty of dealing with parti...