Despite my own support of President Obama, I'm not happy to be predict that he will win on a technicality, on the constitutional anachronism of the electoral college. I happen to believe in the will of the people.
Obama seems to have a lead in the Electoral College, although even that is less assured today than in was three weeks ago. It is increasingly likely that either the national vote total or the Electoral College be decided by a very small percentage of voters.
With five days to go before the election, it is now pretty clear that Mitt Romney will likely win the national popular vote for president. The only remaining question is whether the president's Midwest firewall will hold.
Here in Tennessee uncertainty and debate reign supreme as the state aims to break early voting records unsure of how much an impact it will have in playing a role in deciding the fate of the United States of America.
I'm going to paint a picture of how America could scrap the Electoral College system in the next decade, but I make no predictions whatsoever about the chances this could become reality. You'll have to judge that sort of thing for yourselves.
Where Romney's winning, he's almost always winning by a lot. Obama's leading in more than a few states by just a little. But the estimates for each state are just that -- estimates -- and are accompanied by uncertainty.
I like to engage in the sheerest of blue-sky speculation about possible interesting outcomes that could happen. This time around, the scenario I've been hearing bandied about is that Barack Obama wins the Electoral College vote, but Mitt Romney wins the popular vote.
Romney could win the popular vote by more than 1 million votes and lose the electoral college to Obama by a margin of 272 to 266. What a difference in talking points that would mean for the two parties compared with the 2000 presidential election controversy.
The National Popular Vote gives us a simple way to preserve state leverage over presidential elections without amending the Constitution while still protecting us against electing a minority president.
It's painful to watch these fools -- they don't know how a five-point popular vote victory almost always translates when it comes to the only metric that matters -- the Electoral College. (Hint: landslide).
The National Popular Vote plan builds on states' exclusive power to decide how to allocate their electoral votes. Rather than pushing for a federal change to abolish the Electoral College, the plan uses state power to make it obsolete.