THE BLOG
12/02/2012 06:06 pm ET Updated Jan 31, 2013

Watch: Oscar Experts Battle Over What Will Win Best Picture

HuffPo entertainment editors Michael Hogan, Christopher Rosen and I strongly disagree over what movie is ahead to win the Oscar for Best Picture. Hogan opts for Lincoln, Rosen says Argo and I think it's Les Miserables.

In our video chat, Hogan defends his pick: " I think Lincoln is an incredible, towering achievement. It's got one of the best scripts to come round in a long time. It's going to have a lot of acting nominations. Certainly, Daniel Day-Lewis is the favorite to win Best Actor at this point."

Rosen backs up his choice: " All of the reasons we loved Argo a month or two ago are still in play. It's a lot of fun. It's a very audience-friendly film and Hollywood-friendly film. There's Ben Affleck's big comeback story. Argo is still the least polarizing of those three films. I think Les Miz is going to have a lot of detractors by the time the nominations come around. I like Lincoln a lot, but I don't think it will be the one that gets in there."

I disagree and so do the largest chunk of Oscarologists making predictions at Gold Derby where Les Miserables leads with 9-to-2 odds. See my full predictions here. See Hogan's here. See Rosen's here. See how our Best Picture rankings compare side by side here.