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Bringing Solar Manufacturing Back

Posted: 02/13/2012 4:01 pm

In his State of the Union address, President Obama proclaimed that he would not cede the solar industry to China through a lack of commitment. Unfair Chinese trading practices demand that he keep this pledge immediately or risk surrendering the industry to China.

The United States created the solar industry and its technological leadership ensured its development. Bell Labs' researchers invented the first silicon solar photovoltaic device in 1954 and government researchers furthered industrial development. Despite the 2009 recession, the U.S. government invested $7.1 billion in solar R&D, compared to $1.32 billion from the E.U., and nothing from the rest of the world, including China. Yet today, China accounts for three-fifths of the world's solar-panel production and exports 95 percent of its production, much of it to the United States.

Against this backdrop, an epic battle is now occurring. Seven U.S. manufacturing companies, the Coalition of American Solar Manufacturers (CASM), filed antidumping and countervailing duty complaints against China with the U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) and Commerce Department. CASM has argued that imported, illegally subsidized Chinese solar cells and panels are destroying U.S. manufacturing jobs and injuring the U.S. industry. Almost immediately, Chinese exporters and some U.S.-based assemblers and installers challenged the U.S. manufacturers, arguing that reducing subsidized Chinese imports would reduce U.S. jobs, through higher consumer prices and dampened demand for solar panels. They have warned of a "trade war" and have telegraphed threats of retaliation. So far, preliminary rulings from the ITC and Commerce have favored the U.S. manufacturers.

A key issue in the case is the billions of dollars in subsidies that the Chinese government has provided its manufacturers. The Chinese government heavily subsidizes export-oriented solar production through low-cost capital, free utilities, energy and land. Chinese state-owned banks make large loans with flexible, if any, repayment dates, to increase companies' production capacities and scale economies. Our data show Chinese solar companies carry substantially more debt than U.S. companies. For 2011-2020, China's National Development and Reform Commission allocated about $792.6 billion in direct investments into solar production. China's Five-Year plan has acknowledged that this capital-intensive industry requires large upfront investments.

Domestically, the Chinese government favored Chinese companies. In 2010, China's Ministry of Finance chose Yingli to supply 70% of the modules for one project's first phase over foreign companies' bids. Yingli received $114 million in prepayments, or 35% of the total purchase price in advance as an instant rebate. To meet capital shortfalls, Yingli also obtained additional low-cost loans from at least seven other state-owned banks.

U.S. subsidies, on the other hand, focus on trade-neutral consumption. That is, U.S. consumers receive subsidies regardless of whether the solar panels they purchase are made in the United States or China. U.S. consumption subsidies give no preference to U.S. manufacturers, offering more consistent benefits to assemblers and installers. Finally, these subsidies are significantly smaller than Chinese subsidies.

Chinese subsidies have allowed Chinese manufacturers to sell below cost and begin a drive to push competitors out of business. Aggressive cost-cutting Chinese manufacturers have used substantial production subsidies to employ price competition against U.S companies. As a result, many U.S. solar companies have moved production to Asia or outsourced. The trend began with contracting out value-chain parts (e.g., conversion of polysilicon to wafers), expanded to outsourced module manufacturing for branded-cell manufacturers, and evolved to joint ventures that moved all upstream production offshore. Essentially, higher- value manufacturing is moving to China, while lower-value assembly and installation is staying in the U.S.

Unfortunately, the United States' commitment to solar energy may result in the loss of domestic higher-value productions' benefits. Technological innovations, which occur not just in labs but also on factory floors, constitute major reasons why solar-panel prices have fallen. By offshoring production, companies offshore innovations as well. Additionally, higher-value-adding manufacturing employees receive higher pay, and have substantially higher job-multiplier effects than lower-value-adding assemblers and installers. In short, if we allow the Chinese to drive the remaining U.S. manufacturers out of the market, we are offshoring the type of advanced, next generation manufacturing we should want to have here in the United States. Without U.S.-based competitors, Chinese solar companies would have no need to maintain low prices. Indeed, our research has shown that without generous government subsidies, many Chinese manufacturers would face bankruptcies, incentive enough to raise prices and to recapture lost profits after destroying the competition.

President Obama continued, "So we have a huge opportunity, at this moment, to bring manufacturing back. But we have to seize it." Carpe diem, Mr. President.

Originally published in the The Hill's Congress Blog, February 7, 2012.

 
 
 

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artleads
Let's have a national retreat.
10:05 PM on 02/14/2012
I've been wondering how solar-panel manufacturing could be brought back. Thanks for your efforts.
07:38 PM on 02/14/2012
In my opinion the current administration messed up a huge opportunity to get solar (and renewables) rolling along in this country. The TARP bailouts and Bank Bailouts simply gave money to companies that had no interest in our need for better Energy independence or capabilities and only padded their bottom lines with tax dollars.

The President "should" have purchased a few Solar Fabrication Plants scattered throughout the US - maybe one plant per EPA Region as well as placed orders for large PV Plants in the Southern States on Federally owned lands (near the grid). Once momentum was achieved, the PV plants could have been auctioned off so some business could make PV systems for American Households - cheaper then those made in China.

The point is - orders like this CREATE jobs. Take for example the purchase of a single Aircraft Carrier. It takes Congress to place the funding in Appropriations, but once there it creates opportunities for businesses to make a tangible asset we need for this country. The net result - a $5 billion dollar ship that protects and serves AND employs 10,000 to 20,000 workers.

Again - big thinking - but more jobs created. Mr. President - if you make it another term, please consider buying stuff instead of throwing money away. Stuff creates work even if it's not cutting edge.
03:47 PM on 02/14/2012
There's a glut of solar panels in the world. Plus, they will never work as advertised because the half life of these panels is less then 7.625 years(arguable point here). So even if you get suckered into buying them unless you can install them yourself,which will thereby eliminate any subsidies being offered by the gov't, you lose. Avg house around here costs 25-35k to install, do the math. Resource economics answers those type of questions. Another solar company went belly up today and that was a good company that got involved with a bad idea. Maybe in ten years with a company that does its own materials research will discover the route,but by then, Algae will rule the world
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Robert Lee Harrington
There's still time to change the road you're on...
10:50 PM on 02/14/2012
" they will never work as advertised because the half life of these panels is less then 7.625 years"

You could not be more wrong/the average solar panel's life expectancy is up to 30 to 40 years

"Avg house around here costs 25-35k to install, do the math"

Once again you are wrong/ a 2 Kw installation cost less than $15,000
01:10 AM on 02/15/2012
The cheap walmart quality panels from china will last as long as all other Walmart product.
02:56 PM on 02/15/2012
Not in these here parts of the world bucaroo
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William Howell
10:06 AM on 02/14/2012
Let's see, $20,000 for solar panels on my house and I save 20% on energy costs!! If my bill is $200.00 per/month, I save $40.00 per month; cool. It would take me 41.7 years to recoup my investment. Makes sense to me. When you get your panels, let me know and I will be right behind you.

By the way, how many of you greenies have solar panels?
07:44 PM on 02/14/2012
$20,000 for energy independence may not be that bad. Think of it the way you buy a $20,000 car. You finance it and make payments over five years. The drive it for another 10 if you're lucky. Solar on the other hand lasts 20 years maybe longer. And if history remains consistent then electricity costs will climb so you're won't after the final payment is made. One other point - the baby boomers (higher wage earners) are retiring. The wealthy tend to subsidize power for everybody. The Electric and Gas Companies are always providing lower cost services to the needy - but those costs are covered by those who can pay by burying fees in your monthly statement. If you're not connected to the grid, they can't make you pay.

Just a thought...
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Robert Lee Harrington
There's still time to change the road you're on...
10:55 PM on 02/14/2012
You should be saving 50%. Your math is wrong. you should break even at 17 years. You should be saving $100 a month.
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William Howell
09:18 AM on 02/15/2012
Not according to the data I found about installing solar panels. Even at 17 years not a got investment if your numbers happen to be correct. Who lives in a house for 17 years this day and age? Do you have solar panels? If so, are you saving 50%?
02:59 PM on 02/15/2012
In seventeen years you need completely new panels-your argument is shall we say -wrong-even the panel manufacturers tell you that -the ones that are still in business.I know of utility's that replace every five years they break.
06:12 AM on 02/14/2012
Solar energy in a slightly different form: http://www.wimp.com/lightenup/
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mhh310351
Roosevelt Democrat
08:07 PM on 02/13/2012
In an unrestricted free trade world It's amazing how fast a developing nation can gain market share with cheap dirty coal!

China consumed 49% of all the coal consumed on the planet in 2010!
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William Howell
09:21 AM on 02/15/2012
Did you see the Tennessee study done in china on electric cars. They found the electric car produces more polution than the internal combustion engine. Isn't that interesting?
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doubleB
07:35 PM on 02/13/2012
We should absolutely put a tariff on solar panels if they aren't made up to our standards. We need to level the playing field, which means if the Chinese want to employ slave labor and pollute their lands in the manufacturing process, all the while subsidizing said activities, they should pay for it. This is just incredibly weak policy on our part. It's funny that we have the strongest, and most in-your-face military industrial complex on the planet, but then don't back it up with our trade policies.

If the US solar industry suffers as a result, then so be it. But it's a little hypocritical of any industry to be supporting carbon legislation, when their own industry doesn't account for their own externalities. We need to account for them across the board.
07:45 PM on 02/14/2012
Tarriffs don't work. Just cut off the Tax Credits so the price of non US panels are full price while US made panels get the tax credits and are more competitive. Why should US taxpayers foot the bill for non us made goods?
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doubleB
11:21 AM on 02/15/2012
That would probably make more sense. Addition by subtraction I guess :)

Or just take away ALL subsidies, and tax technologies that emit GHG's and use other environmentally and socially harmful practices in the supply chain. This would be even better yet... by addressing the externalities directly, instead of potentially creating more.
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"Christopher Newfield"
07:21 PM on 02/13/2012
Are you calling for a US industrial policy in strategic technologies like solar? This is an excellent piece but you leave us hanging!
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12:14 PM on 02/14/2012
Glad to oblige:

1. restore PACE loans so that we can all install solar for no money down - these loans are no-risk to the lender because they take first lien (by being repaid through property taxes) or to the borrower because they are designed to amortize the cost of the improvement (rooftop solar and efficiency upgrades) over 10-20 years, in amounts that correspond to the savings from the improvement.

The FHFA illegally blocked all PACE loans (killing the billions of ARRA dollars committed to the states to kickstart the programs), killing an incredible opportunity to improve property values and get every sunny, sprawling house upgraded for efficiency and blanketed with PV, while saving money and increasing energy independence. The DOJ forced them to open up a 60 day comment period about this illegal move, and we ALL need to demand restoration of PACE immediately:

http://pacenow.org/blog/

2. Implement German style feed in tariffs so that WE can own the renewable revolution, and be PAID fairly for producing clean, high-value peaker power that is more affordable and more reliable than central station power (and does not slaughter wilderness like Big Solar and Big Wind). This single policy is entirely responsible for the drastic drop in PV prices over the past 5 years and has improved the lives, property values and income stream of tens of thousands of regular people while reducing overall energy rates by 10% for everyone.

continued...
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
12:18 PM on 02/14/2012
...from above

3. support microgrids, streamlined (cheap) permitting, and offer cash grants, not tax credits (like Big Solar and Big Wind get) to people who install rooftop solar.

4. implement a complete moratorium on Big Energy industrialization of public lands - we need to use the built and degraded environment, not pristine tortoise habitat, to convert to solar. The enormous costs (financial and environmental) of backward, monopoly, central station power generation can not be imposed on ratepayers, taxpayers or the planet, all of whom should BENEFIT from the revolution, not be penalized, which is the current program. Think "internet" not "dead end, one-way street."

5. commit to much more R&D for local distributed energy storage and clean backup power.

That should cover the first phase. It will be faster, cheaper, cleaner, fairer, more reliable and much better for everyone and every living thing (other than Big Energy) than the status quo, or the awful greenwashed Big Energy direction we are heading.
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BSDebunker
Let science be your guide...
05:57 PM on 02/13/2012
You'd think there would be more comments here as which ever country develops viable solar power first will rule the planet going forward.
10:53 PM on 02/13/2012
Wont rule squat
Itll be broke.
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BSDebunker
Let science be your guide...
04:50 AM on 02/14/2012
Tisk, tisk, tisk... So your vision of the future is limited to the immediate future. That is... unsurprising.

Regardless of how much 'love' one has for the oil industry, the amount of oil on this planet is finite and dwindling. That is a fact. The amount of solar power supplied to this planet is practically limitless. That too is a fact. Eventually, solar power will be the power source of choice (unless fusion power overtakes it). That too is a fact. Ignore the facts at your own foolishness.
05:10 PM on 02/13/2012
Another great example of how those in charge of America's Trade Policy have failed...

Solar Panels will go the way of Cars, microwaves, cell phones, TV's, Computers, clothes .. almost everything we use on a daily basis is made overseas .. yet was originally created in the USA. $7.1 Billion for Solar R&D?? Geez guys, do you know that very little of this goes towards improving Solar Cells or their Manufacture .. most goes towards "Solar Projects" where panels are bought .. oftentimes from the Chinese .. and put in place as part of a Project to save Energy. Post Offices, Gov't Buildings, Military Bases, Schools, Colleges, .. all have Solar Panel Projects .. more is given out as a subsidy to residences.

Now the issue is before another Bureaucratic Panel (ITC) which can never make a decision.. we aren't even in charge of our own Trade anymore .. some nameless panel is ... and people on here want MORE Big Government??

This is a TRUE Example of Crony Capitalism .. and we let ourselves be the victims of it .. Thanks for the Article, enjoyed it.
10:54 PM on 02/13/2012
Yea but we dont subsidize them.
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04:47 PM on 02/13/2012
That depends on the type of solar cell. Garden variety panels are dominated by energy and labor cost and those are more efficiently made in China. Higher grades is where US research and manufacturing should focus on. Also integrating them into a system with storage, inverters and hopefully grid tie-in requires a lot of know how.
Still wondering why grid tie-in isn't pushed here in CA. It made all the difference in Europe.
10:55 PM on 02/13/2012
And the Chinese of course dont have the know how?
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11:47 PM on 02/13/2012
Probably not. It's very regional and all about regulations and working with local authorities and energy companies.