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Victoria M. DeFrancesco Soto

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Latina Moms in the 2012 Election

Posted: 01/07/12 10:32 AM ET

Soccer moms were the go to gals in the 1996 Presidential election. Eight years later George W. Bush again looked to the ladies, zeroing in on security moms. In the last presidential election a hockey mom herself was put at the top of the ticket. And leading up to the 2012 election women Wal-Mart moms are the political date of choice.

The different "moms" of the last couple of elections have changed names, but they remain generally similar in terms of demographic characteristics - white, middle class, and suburban. These moms vote and they are moved by tangible day-to-day concerns related to the well-being of their family. Campaigns are smart to target these women, but would be unwise to do so to the exclusion of the growing population of mamás--Latina moms.

Latinas, like white, black, and Asian women have out-voted their male counterparts for 30 years. In the 2008 election 70.4 million women voted, close to 10 million more women than men. In that same election 34.3% of eligible Latinas voted while only 29.1% of Latino men did. This pattern will continue into the 2012 election. At the same time that this differential will persist, the raw number of Latinas (and Latinos) voting will climb as a result of the rapid population growth within the Latino community that has grown by two million new eligible Latino voters.

Mamás will be a particularly important electorate for President Obama. While women across the board approve of the President at higher rates than men, the President's approval is strongest among Latinas. In the November 2011 Univision-Latino Decisions poll 31% of registered Latinas strongly approved of the President compared to 27% of registered non-Latinas. This differential widened when the President was paired up against Mitt Romney. In this hypothetical match-up 47% of non-Latinas stated they were most likely vote for President Obama and among Latinas that figure shot up to 69%.

While as a group Latinos continue to support President Obama at higher rates than whites, Latinas approve of the President more than their male counterparts. In December 2011 an impreMedia-Latino Decisions poll asked registered Latinos how certain they were in their vote for President Obama or a Republican challenger. Fifty-four percent of the respondents stated that they were certain to vote for the President. However, the level of support was not equal among Latino men and women, with 56% of Latinas stating their certainty of support and 51% of Latino men doing the same. In a follow up question that pitted the President against Mitt Romney, Latinas again indicated that they were more likely to vote for President Obama.

Moms inside and outside of the political arena are a force to be reckoned with, Latina moms not being the exception. As the Latino population continues to grow the force of mamás will only increase. If they are courted appropriately Latina moms will prove to be a lifeline to the President's re-election bid. However, Latinas, like Latinos in general are an electorate that will cross party lines if a candidate resonates with them. Moving beyond the 2012 election, Republicans and Democrats alike will need to seek to make mamá happy.

 

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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
AntonioSaucedo
09:03 PM on 01/09/2012
So you're saying L can't be W? It's time to go beyond faulty and oversimplistic nomenclature, Victoria. L isn't a color. Neither is W for than matter, just a social construct that keeps getting unanalytically perpetuated.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
mericart
Proud to be progressive
03:22 PM on 01/09/2012
Job opportunities, paycheck fairness, retirement security, affordable health care, and affordable childcare are all important issues to moms. Obama will support these issues more than any republican candidate.
08:36 PM on 01/07/2012
Maybe I'm too young but I kind of get a chill when people write about how a racial or cultural group votes. I thought we were past this. Maybe we have to wait for the boomers to die off since they seem so preoccupied with race.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
SuperMex
12:03 AM on 01/08/2012
Look Trout007, you may get chills when folks of a particular affinity group vote to protect their interest but do you understand what drove them to their decision. Since we're talking about Latin's I'll give you a clue. Listen to the disdainful rants on conservative talk radio or read some of the rants that are posted on this website.

I'm all for Freedom of Speech, but keep in mind that just as some people share a suimilar
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
SuperMex
12:17 AM on 01/08/2012
Continued:

I'm all for Freedom of Speech, but keep in mind that just as some people share a pattern of listening to similar radio programing and probably have a similar voting pattern. Does this group give you the chills. Have you considered addressing this group?
11:50 AM on 01/08/2012
There is an important difference. If someone self identifies as being a part of a group based on an issue you can only logically make the assumption they share the view on that issue. It is illogical to try to extend that.

Take the NRA. I can pretty much assume all NRA members agree with most of what the official NRA positions. But to try to take that further and assign other beliefs on all members is not logical.

Same with the ACLU. You can assume people who contribute to the ACLU pretty much agree with what they do. But you can't take all of the beliefs of the ACLU president and apply it to all members.

Doing this is exactly what right wing talk shows like Sean Hannity do all the time. It's guilt by association.

I'm a libertarian. This means sometimes to advance the cause of liberty I agree with Democrats and Leftists on things like ending the war on drugs and anti preemptive war (Well at least until this president). And sometimes I agree with Republicans and Right Wingers on things like cutting spending and bailouts (Except for the last President).
02:03 PM on 01/07/2012
Why do Hispanics support Obama who has deported more immigrants then even Bush did in all his 8 years?
mira chancleta
No ball-balancing, clapping, belching seals!
04:54 PM on 01/07/2012
For the moment, they support the Big "O" because:

1. there is not one "latino" brain that we all plug-into telepathically

2. "Hispanics" like all other cultural, ethnic organisms on the planet have this habit of thinking for themselves and not in 1 mindless block

3. Most "Hispanics" are NOT illegally in the US

4 The Majority of us, have been in the US generations, if not centuries.

5. Since most "Hispanics" are in this country LEGALLY, they DO NOT support illegal entry and lawlessness

6. A vast number of "Hispanics" have served in and died in the Armed Forces and have gleaned a healthy respect and regard for American laws, which prevents them from supporting the current fever of amnesty for ILLEGALS

7. Having said all of the above, we will NOT support our president again if he continues to relegate the laws of this country to the shredder pile, because he thinks we are going to run to the polls in November clutching our soggy, political pinatas, if he dares to give amnesty to MILLIONS of aliens whose first civic act on US soil is to wipe their bottoms with our Constitution.

I think that covers it.
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mericart
Proud to be progressive
03:26 PM on 01/09/2012
I do not support the current harsh deportation policy. But in this republican dominated congress, immigration reform is impossible. So I will put the blame on republicans. If we give him a less obstructive congress come November, the president may be able to do more for immigrants.