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William F. Schulz

William F. Schulz

Posted: January 15, 2011 06:00 PM

The overthrow of President Ben Ali of Tunisia is being hailed as a potential precursor to similar revolts against repressive regimes elsewhere in the Arab world. Democracy enthusiasts dream of falling dominos throughout the Middle East comparable to the cascade of apparently impregnable dictatorships in eastern Europe and eventually the Soviet Union between 1989-92.

Certainly some elements of Tunisia's so-called Jasmine Revolution parallel other upheavals. Mohammed Bouazizi, the street vendor who set himself on fire, became a symbol of heroism not unlike the Rev. Laszlo Tokes in Romania whose resistance to Nicolae Ceauseascu's venality inspired thousands to take to the streets in 1989. And the Tunisian protesters, unlike those in Iron Curtain countries, had the benefit of social networking tools like Twitter and Facebook with which to rally supporters.

But massive Tweeting and consequent street demonstrations in Iran in 2009, coupled though they were with enthusiasm for opposition politician Mir Hossein Mousavi, were not sufficient to rid the country of either its autocratic president or its theocratic state. Moreover, despite widespread protests over recent stolen elections, Alexander Lukashenko remains very much in power in Belarus as does Laurent Gbagbo in Cote d'Ivoire.

The truth is that no one knows for sure what makes for success when it comes to explosions of popular outrage. Before the revolution, Tunisia boasted both a well-educated populace and a small but courageous civil society with wide access to new communication technologies. The addition of economic stress and resentment at the luxuries garnered by the president's family through corruption made for a lethal mix. (How ironic that that corruption was largely revealed through WikiLeaks which, having intended to give the heartburn to the US, one of the most open countries in the world, contributed instead to the downfall of one of the least open.) When the military refused to protected Ben Ali, his fate was sealed. But this combination of conditions is not easily duplicated elsewhere and many of them are not within the control of those who would promote democracy.

So what should we democracy and human rights activists do to encourage positive change in repressive regimes around the world? Like the old Boy Scout slogan, we should "Be Prepared!" We should encourage the widespread availability of social networking tools and training in nonviolent strategies of social change. We should never abandon civil society when it is under threat and ensure that our own governments don't either. We should push Western governments to reexamine their ties to repressive regimes. (The US will inevitably pay a price in post-Ben Ali Tunisia for its war-on-terror-inspired alliance with Tunis.) And we should be models of civility worth emulating in the conduct of our own democracy. In this sense whether the Americans heed President Obama's eloquent words in Tucson has implications well beyond our shores.

The Jasmine Revolution may or may not have staying power. (Ask most Ukrainians whether they are happy today with the results of their 2004 Orange Revolution!) But it has underscored the message that under the right circumstances people can indeed determine their own destinies. That ought at least to give pause to autocrats from Beijing to Cairo and put at least a momentary smile on the faces of all those who care about freedom.

William F. Schulz is President of the Unitarian Universalist Service Committee and former Executive Director of Amnesty International USA.

 
The overthrow of President Ben Ali of Tunisia is being hailed as a potential precursor to similar revolts against repressive regimes elsewhere in the Arab world. Democracy enthusiasts dream of fallin...
The overthrow of President Ben Ali of Tunisia is being hailed as a potential precursor to similar revolts against repressive regimes elsewhere in the Arab world. Democracy enthusiasts dream of fallin...
 
 
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01:06 AM on 01/18/2011
The sad thing is that there are others equally as vile willing to give shelter to despots and dictators when they are overthrown.
09:06 PM on 01/17/2011
The United States keep saying it's in the Middle East to spread democracy, but now we have the real roots of democracy evolving in Tunisia by the people. Let's hope the roots of freedom spreads to other Arab nations and helps to create a Palestinian homeland.
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
05:40 PM on 01/17/2011
Middle-eastern palace coup = jasmine revolution? OK.
10:56 PM on 01/16/2011
IA warning to the other the Tyrants of the Arab World in the words of the beloved Tunisian poet Abul-Qasim al-Shabi in his poem:

Wait, don't let the spring, the clearness of the sky and the shine of the morning light fool you ...
Because the darkness, the thunder's rumble and the blowing of the wind are coming toward you
from the horizon
Beware because there is a fire underneath the ash
10:48 AM on 01/16/2011
Please keep in mind that Wikileak pages did not practically reveal anything new to Tunisians.
Most of the widespread corruptions of the ruling family was long revealed by such French books as "La Regente de Carthage" (published last year) and many other online articles/blogs, that were banned in Tunisia, many of these were published since 2002.
Even Facebook had many of its pages/groupes inaccessible in Tunisia, which prompted the intelligent young Tunisians to resort to several proxies software to gain access.
There were widespread report that the Tunisian Government had hacked into many Facebook, Twitter, Gmail, Yahoo accounts of Tunisian activists, yet in the end, They were invincible and they successfully overthrew their dictator and forced him in exile.
Now hopefully they would be able to extradite him (and the crooks in his family) and put them in jail for the rest of their life.
photo
blutopie
maui ono
09:05 AM on 01/16/2011
Intifada here in Tunisia, Intifada in Palestine, Intifada all over the Middle East? Outside these Arab tyrants the ones who have the most to lose are the Israelis.

"Revolution Until Victory” (the old Palestinian battle cry) - from a demonstration outside the Tunisian embassy in Cairo congratulated the intifada. “Revolution in Egypt!”

The original Arab revolution is the decades-long Palestinian Intifada that has finally overthrown the rigged Israeli-American charade called the 'peace process' and is now setting it's sights on overthrowing the Israeli Apartheid occupation of Palestine - and the 1979 Iranian Revolution that overthrew the American-puppet in Iran

It's time for the American supported Israeli despot Netanayahu to be overthrown along with the whole Israeli Apartheid regime as well

http://pulsemedia.org/2011/01/15/this-is-what-victory-looks-like/

The Western clients in particular are in trouble. Saudi-owned media coverage of Tunisia makes their fear plain. Over the last weeks Algeria has seen demonstrations and riots. Yesterday thousands marched against economic conditions in Jordan. Tonight a demonstration outside the Tunisian embassy in Cairo congratulated the intifada, and chanted “Revolution Until Victory” (the old Palestinian battle cry),
05:13 AM on 01/16/2011
Series of events unfolding in the twilight days of all the dictators, both civilian and military, are intriguingly identical. They all handle the uprisings in strikingly similar fashion. Pakistanis, who can clearly recall the protests against massive rigging of 1977 elections, will testify to the fact that dictators do not realize the gravity of situation and intensity of public sentiments till they are booted out. It was unfortunate for Pakistanis that their very genuine protest demonstrations were hijacked by the clergy because the protest leaders were behind the bars. The rest is history, the dark ages which still continue. The handling of uprising against the shah of Iran was no different. The dictator of Tunis handled the uprising in the similar fashion though he met his fate much quicker that his other cousins. Read more at: http://pksecurity.blogspot.com/2011/01/why-all-dictators-think-and-act-alike.html
08:13 PM on 01/15/2011
In every article about Tunisia you see a reference to Iran 2009 demonstration. That is such a false analogy. If you want to compare Tunisia to anything, it is 1979 Iran. The US supported and propped up regimes in the Arab world are going to fall one by one, the pent up anger is against systematic corruption and two tier societies they have created for the people. US government is not viewed as the good guys in any of these situation. Egypt will be the next that will change and that is going to be as quick as this, but unfortunately more violent. Then the rest.
08:43 PM on 01/15/2011
Good points. It would be interesting if the overthrow of Mubarak led to a revival of Pan-Arabism. Does the notion that all Arabs are one, indivisible people, linger on in Egypt?
10:28 PM on 01/15/2011
Little chance of Pan-Arabism or anything like that. People want to have opportunity to live a decent life and when they say something be left alone, also have a government that fights for the good of their people externally rather than enforces the will of outsiders on them.
06:25 PM on 01/15/2011
A further update on recent developments...
Tunisia's Nervous Neighbors
Events in Tunisia are being closely watched across the Arab world, by both political leaders and citizens. While many people have been celebrating, leaders may be nervously wondering what happens next http://www.newslook.com/videos/283858-tunisia-s-nervous-neighbors?autoplay=true
08:44 PM on 01/15/2011
Thanks. Good link.