It is time once again to peer deeply into my somewhat-foggy crystal ball, and attempt to pick the winners of tomorrow night's New Hampshire primary. Before I get to that, though, some old business needs to be brought up. First, we have some very recent old business and then some truly ancient business, so bear with me.
Is Senator Bernie Sanders on the verge of morphing from protest leader into potential President of the United States? And would that be good or bad for what has been a strikingly successful cause-oriented campaign?
Today, Iowa Democratic Party officials reported errors in the state's caucus results. The news comes just days after Hillary Clinton was named the official winner in Iowa. Defeating Bernie Sanders by two tenths of one percent, she took home 23 of the state's 44 delegates.
Democrats are down to a head-to-head contest, which was on full display last night. Both Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders made their respective cases fairly well, and the jostling between them for position was notable.
Have you noticed that the Democrats don't have anyone running for president now who is the 25-54 demographic so popular with TV advertising executives...
Hillary is playing her fight song, standing up and charging forward even though she's been knocked down so many times it's amazing she's not been forced to take subterranean shelter. And in response, are the young women of America standing by her?
In many respects, I find Ted Cruz to be an even more troubling candidate than Donald Trump. Trump is a nativist and a xenophobe. But Cruz is something new on the American scene -- a religious zealot with a strong chance of becoming the nominee of one of America's two major political parties.
Both sides now have a two-person race, each with an establishment candidate and an outsider. On the left, it's Hillary Clinton vs. Bernie Sanders. On the right, it's Marco Rubio vs. Donald Trump. Cruz's win, while it did shake things up, is a distraction.
Here's a bold declaration: Despite the rancor accompanying this year's races and last year's congressional session, there is only one issue worth voting on. It's a deceptively simple issue too; massively important, but, oddly, still one a vast majority of Americans agree on.
It's clear the Clintons spent last year making sure that Elizabeth Warren or Deval Patrick did not run. They clearly didn't think that an obscure 74-year-old democratic socialist from Vermont would be a real challenge. But he is.
So, on the other hand ... Hillary Clinton won. But there was a big surprise in Iowa after all.
Regardless of your political views, the outcome of the Democratic nomination will create a very interesting situation either way. If Sanders, an older, grumpier, Independent candidate who openly identifies as a socialist, wins the nomination over a well-seasoned, well-known, well-connected, non-socialist candidate such as Clinton, it will easily be considered one of the greatest upsets in our political history. If Clinton wins the nomination, she could potentially be the first presidential nominee to be indicted while running for office.
What made last night's Democratic caucuses so interesting, aside from the fact that Clinton and Sanders virtually tied, was the battle between younger and older voters. If you look at how Iowan Democrats voted by age, it's plain to see that Clinton took home the older vote, while Sanders won huge among millennials.
The Iowa caucuses were a victory for pundits. But many will continue to mislead about what's really going on this election -- or be oblivious to its realities.
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Let's look at exactly what happened in Iowa. By virtue of its peculiar caucus system, Iowa's two hundred thousand Democratic votes were reduced to 14...