BUSINESS
11/20/2008 05:12 am ET Updated May 25, 2011

Did The Recession Just Have A Birthday?

The Federal Reserve chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, declined today to say whether we are in a recession. The only reason to avoid doing so is that it would not be reassuring to admit the obvious. The National Bureau of Economic Research has yet to certify there is a recession, but otherwise there is no doubt.

In fact, just as he began his testimony, the Conference Board released its index of coincident indicators. That index not only confirmed a recession is under way, but it provided powerful evidence that it began in 2007, or in January 2008 at the latest.

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