Experts Say Obama 'Unlikely' To Win Arizona

Experts Say Obama 'Unlikely' To Win Arizona
US President Barack Obama speaks at the Intel Ocotillo Campus in Chandler, Arizona, on January 25, 2012. Obama kicked off a three-day five-state tour, one day after his State of Union speech. Obama wants large tax hikes on millionaires to finance a fair economy for all, a populist vision aimed at convincing crisis-weary voters he merits a second White House term. In his annual State of the Union address -- which this year served as a grand kick-off of his 2012 reelection campaign, Obama played on rising anger over inequality in the wake of the 2008 economic collapse. AFP Photo/Jewel Samad (Photo credit should read JEWEL SAMAD/AFP/Getty Images)
US President Barack Obama speaks at the Intel Ocotillo Campus in Chandler, Arizona, on January 25, 2012. Obama kicked off a three-day five-state tour, one day after his State of Union speech. Obama wants large tax hikes on millionaires to finance a fair economy for all, a populist vision aimed at convincing crisis-weary voters he merits a second White House term. In his annual State of the Union address -- which this year served as a grand kick-off of his 2012 reelection campaign, Obama played on rising anger over inequality in the wake of the 2008 economic collapse. AFP Photo/Jewel Samad (Photo credit should read JEWEL SAMAD/AFP/Getty Images)

“The reason the administration thinks it can go after Arizona is part factual and part campaign hype,” said Antonio Gonzalez, president of William C. Velasquez Institute, a nonpartisan Latino public policy research organization with offices in California and Texas. “This is the factual part: the Latino vote is surging . . . and that’s their card [in the campaign]. The hype is about campaign tactics and strategy. The incumbent, with plenty of money and staff, decides to say he can play in his opponent’s back yard – ‘I’m going to come and get you on your turf.’ . . . In Arizona, this is more a misdirected play.”

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