ENVIRONMENT
12/16/2014 04:18 pm ET Updated Dec 06, 2017

These Cities Might Be Seeing More Power Outages, Thanks To Climate Change

How likely is it that climate change will leave your city in the dark? Researchers at Johns Hopkins University asked just this question, analyzing which cities will be more likely to suffer from hurricane-related power outages in the future.

Using historical data and a range of potential future storm scenarios, researchers created a computer model to predict which cities will likely see the greatest increases in power outage risk. Seth Guikema, associate professor at Johns Hopkins and co-author of the report, said in a press release that the information will be able to help cities make plans now to reinforce their systems.

"If I’m mayor of Miami, we know about hurricanes, we know about outages and our system has been adapted for it," Guikema said. "But if I’m mayor of Philadelphia, I might say, 'Whoa, we need to be doing more about this.'"

Scientists are uncertain exactly how climate change will affect hurricanes of the future, but the team examined a range of potential impacts of changes in frequency, intensity and location to make their predictions.

"The range of results demonstrates the sensitivity of the U.S. power system to changes in storm behavior," Guikema said. “Infrastructure providers and emergency managers need to plan for hurricanes in a long-term manner and that planning has to take climate change into account.”

The team ranked the top ten cities that will likely see the greatest increase in power outage risk from hurricanes. Scroll down to see if your city was unlucky enough to make the cut!

10. New Orleans, Louisiana
new orleans downtown

9. Miami, Florida
miami florida downtown

8. Providence, Rhode Island
providence rhode island downtown

7. Tampa, Florida
tampa florida downtown

6. Orlando, Florida
orlando florida downtown

5. Hartford, Connecticut
hartford connecticut downtown

4. Virginia Beach, Virginia
virginia beach va

3. Jacksonville, Florida
jacksonville florida downtown

2. Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
philadelphia pa downtown

1. New York, New York
new york skyline sandy
Much of the New York City skyline sits in darkness after Hurricane Sandy, on October 30, 2012

The research was published in the journal Climatic Change. Johns Hopkins doctoral student Andrea Staid was the report’s lead author.

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