President Obama has seized upon North Korea's missile launch to talk about a new approach to nuclear disarmament. Most people agree with the swell commonplaces associated with Obama's vague rhetoric. Sure, we shouldn't blow up the planet. Yes, nuclear weapons are extremely dangerous.
But beyond that, the rules for nuclear armament are very hazy. Who can pursue nuclear weapons changes depending on time, place, and what the United States can gain from allowing (or forbidding) nuclear ambitions.
Certainly, reducing armaments is the pathway to abolishing nuclear weapons. However, the United States has placed itself in the position of favoring/allowing some countries' nuclear pursuits (United States, United Kingdom, France, Israel, India, China, Russia) ahead of other countries' sometimes-identical quests (Iran, North Korea, Syria). There was some good in Obama's Prague speech, but there were also bad pockets. Let's explore the minefield, shall we?
Good: reducing nukes
Few people adopt qualms for statements like this. It would be nice to live in a safer world where we're not consumed with the fear that some general somewhere has gone bat shit crazy and sold the nuclear armament codes to Al-Qaeda.
Bad: The complete lack of universality
The United States picks and chooses which countries can, and cannot, pursue nuclear technology. Whilst holding Kim Jong-Il's missiles just out of his reach, America gives an enthusiastic thumbs-up to Israel's possession of nuclear weapons in an extremely volatile region of the world.
Soon after North Korea's missile launch, President Obama gave a speech in Prague during which he declared, "Rules must be binding...Violations must be punished. Words must mean something." True, but what words? What are these rules, and why do sacred rules only apply to certain people?
Who can have missiles? Who can pursue nuclear technology, and why are 1,000-2,000 nukes on the U.S. and Russian sides any less dangerous than 5,000(PDF)?
Furthermore, "nuclear" describes a range of pursuits from missiles and bombs to energy. Iran claims it wants nuclear energy to power its state, while Israel and the United States claim their true interests lie in nuking Israel off the map. Such a move would be pretty dumb, considering Tehran would be obliterated instantly during the retaliation, but there it is - the strange double standard, combined with vague guidelines: Israel may have nukes, but Iran may not pursue nuclear power because we clairvoyantly believe Iran's true intentions are to nuke Israel. And yes, Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch document all kinds of human rights violations on the part of Israel that should lead us to believe it too is a reactionary government incapable of living humanely with its neighbors, and therefore shouldn't be trusted with nuclear weapons, but nevermind. Step aside: confusing standards to uphold here.
North Korea's pursuit of a missile is another illustration of such a variance in priorities. While certainly crazy, Kim Jong-Il is hardly a looming threat to the west. His sputtering rocket is the equivalent of a five-year-old's tantrum. He got the attention he's been craving, but he's unlikely to blast Alaska to smithereens. Call this the flexing-for-attention strategy. Sarah Palin needn't stakeout the coastline with Todd, and her armed children, just yet.
Bad: Fear-mongering for the sake of geopolitical conquest
I recently interviewed activist and author of several books, Tariq Ali, about the volatility at the Afghanistan-Pakistan border. Obama's rationale behind expanding the covert drone operation within Pakistan is that we can't let the Taliban get a nuclear weapon. (Pakistan is one of those "nuclear no-no" countries that we curse having the bomb). Mr. Ali very patiently explained to me how absurd this notion is:
I think this is one of the stupidest, fear mongering things. It is true Pakistan is a nuclear state. It is also true that the Pakistani military is half a million strong, that these nuclear facilities are amongst the most heavily guarded facilities in the country, just like they are in the United States, in Israel, in India, in China, in Russia now. So the notion that any armed group of extremists could even get near these facilities is a joke.
But let's suppose they do. All the nuclear weapons require codes to be fired. These codes are now imbedded in all these weapons. There's a handful of top military people who know what these codes are. There are also rumors, by the way, that the United States defense intelligence agency has its own personnel in there. This has been denied, but it wouldn't totally surprise me if it were true.
So there is no problem on that front unless the Pakistani military splits. Were it to split, then all bets are off. And the only reason it would split is if the United States expanded the war into Pakistan, making it extremely difficult for lots of nationalist-minded military officers to go along with this. Because there is that current and they say, "Well, it is our country. Why is the United States using our military bases to bomb our own people?"
What I am saying to you is now news to the administration. There are intelligent people behind Obama, who know all this. And that is why its puzzling as to why they trying to destabilize the country.
Someone explain to Mr. Ali that the United State's policies don't have to make sense. The U.S. has nukes, so it gets to make the rules. You don't have to make sense when you can kill the world with your arsenal of deadly, deadly weapons. Of course, if the U.S. disarms, it may have to shield itself with logic and justice instead of contradictory ideologies, gross favoritism, and the ability to vaporize the world a hundred times over.
If Part 1 of Obama's Al-Qaeda-with-nukes fear-mongering is Al-Qaeda's ability to steal a nuke, part 2 is Al-Qaeda's ability to build a nuclear weapon, a claim impressively more absurd than the one made in part 1.
Building a nuclear weapon isn't like cooking up some meth in the back of a Chevy Chevette. It takes decades to enrich uranium (ask Iran). With a halfway competent intelligence community (something I would never accuse the U.S. of having, but rather something they should aspire to have,) we'd spot something suspicious in no time. Namely, dodgy, bearded dudes crouching in caves, their faces aglow in an eerie green light from their tubes of uranium.
While Obama's pursuit (meaning, something beyond pretty words) of nuclear disarmament would be noble, there are other problems with the U.S.'s nuclear philosophy that needs his attention. Double standards, favoritism, and fear-mongering are cancerous elements that rob the U.S. of respect and leverage in the nuclear debate.
Cross-posted from allisonkilkenny.com. Also available on Facebook and Twitter.