Patrick Ottenhoff finds the most vulnerable Democrats in rural districts.
DemFromCT notes that although Republicans are likely to see large gains in seats, they're still not very popular; Barry Pump considers implications (via Nyhan).
Alan Abramowitz explains his model that predicts House seats from Gallup's final likely voter poll.
Daniel Hopkins sees no evidence for polls underestimating support for the out-party during wave elections.
John Dickerson and David Brooks ask whether Tea Party victories will help Republicans.
Democracy Corps advises Democrats on speaking to the "rising American electorate."
Rasmussen Reports finds more voters identify with Palin's views than Obama's.
Gallup finds a "modest uptick" in Obama approval and Democratic party ID in September.
Jonathan Cohn says opinion on health care reform is more complicated than a first glance suggests; Kevin Drum and M.S. add more.
AP-GfK finds a majority of Americans support same-sex marriage; Steve Benen takes a look at the question wording.
Andrew Gelman teaches a lesson in question wording effects on Afghanistan.
The National Annenberg Election Survey makes its 2008 data available for scholars online.
Marist finds Peyton is the most popular Manning.